Result
1:2
26/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 9
- Referee: Frischer J. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', Villota M. ↓, Seppik M. ↑,
- 22', Vukusic R. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Valja H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 30', 0 - 2, Aloe K. ⚽,
- 35', Ivanov N. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
- 35', Kask K. ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
- 45+3', Kapper S. 🟨,
- 45+3', Tambedou M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Mannilaan M. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
- 60', Tarassenkov D. ↓, Sotsugov D. ↑,
- 60', Lepik M. 🟨,
- 68', Kapper S. ↓, Viidas S. ↑,
- 68', Limberg M. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Orlov M. ⚽,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nõmme Kalju
72.3% | Draw
17.9% | Pärnu Vaprus
9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Nõmme Kalju - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29
(1.29) |
5.2 ↑
(5) |
9.43 ↑
(8.25) |
7.7%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju - Pärnu Vaprus?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9 in the zone Meistriliiga (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 3.
- Nõmme Kalju is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pärnu Vaprus is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nõmme Kalju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nõmme Kalju is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 49:17. (average 2.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Nõmme Kalju has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Nõmme Kalju?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
05.10.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:0
10.08.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:2
27.06.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme Kalju
2:2
01.03.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme Kalju
0:3
24.01.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:3
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 17 | 21 |
| 2 | Kalju | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:6 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Flora | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Paide | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Harju JK Laagri | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 10 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Narva | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
