Result
1:1
24/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 13
- Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (329/406) | 79% (268/340) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (329/406) | 79% (268/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (33/65) | 45% (25/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (79/121) | 51% (35/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 53% (9/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.84 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Strzalek I. 🟨,
- 37', Putivtsev A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Rocha L. ⚽, Regula M. (A),
- 57', 1 - 1, Ambrosiewicz M. (Pen),
- 58', Lucic L. 🟨,
- 68', Boboc R. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
- 68', Regula M. ↓, Szmyt K. ↑,
- 68', Dziewiatowski M. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
- 70', Lucic L. 🟨,
- 75', Putivtsev A. ↓, Kasperkiewicz A. ↑,
- 75', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
- 75', Rocha L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 85', Guerrero S. 🟨,
- 85', Ambrosiewicz M. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
- 85', Strzalek I. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
- 85', Makowski T. ↓, Michalski D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Termalica Nieciecza
40.7% | Draw
26.7% | Zagłębie Lubin
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Lubin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.46) |
3.55 ↑
(3.14) |
2.88 ↑
(2.53) |
5.9%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Lubin?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zagłębie Lubin: 25.9% – 65.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Termalica (votes: 3 - 30%). Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.5 - Zagłębie Lubin (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Zagłębie Lubin (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Zagłębie Lubin (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Zagłębie Lubin (1.99) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Termalica (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 0.
- Termalica is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Zagłębie Lubin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Termalica: Wolski M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Broken Leg)
Sypek J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D.
(Injury)
- We predict that Zagłębie Lubin will win today's game, with odds of 2.8.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Termalica Nieciecza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Zagłębie Lubin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
