Result
1:2
18/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (312/396) | 83% (384/465) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (312/396) | 83% (384/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (25/50) | 52% (34/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (42/73) | 72% (105/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.90 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Scholz A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Amagasa T. ↓, Yasui T. ↑,
- 46', Matsumura T. ↓, Goya H. ↑,
- 48', Goya H. 🟨,
- 72', Tokiwa K. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
- 72', Yamada F. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 75', Nakagawa T. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
- 75', Endo K. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Yasui T. ⚽,
- 80', 1 - 2, Sato R. ⚽, Nozawa L. (A),
- 81', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 81', Issaka Z. ↓, Himeno M. ↑,
- 86', Ishikawa D. ↓, Igari Y. ↑,
- 90', Hashimoto K. ↓, Bangnagande K. ↑,
- 90+1', Muroya S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
JEF United Chiba
22% | Draw
25.9% | Tokyo
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
JEF United Chiba - Tokyo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.2 ↑
(4) |
3.61 ↓
(3.84) |
1.81 ↓
(1.83) |
6.7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba - Tokyo?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. JEF United will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Tokyo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. JEF United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).
- JEF United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tokyo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Tokyo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in JEF United: Suarez J.
(Knee Injury)
Taguchi T.
(Injury)
Tanaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Ueda Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in JEF United: Sugiyama N.
(Injury)
Tsubaki N.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Tokyo: Ko T.
(Knee Injury)
Morishige M.
(Muscle Injury)
Nagatomo Y.
(Injury)
Tawaratsumida K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, JEF United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has JEF United Chiba won against Tokyo?
JEF United Chiba has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against JEF United Chiba?
Tokyo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between JEF United Chiba - Tokyo were as follows:
10.07.2024
Tokyo
-
JEF United Chiba
1:2
Latest results of JEF United Chiba
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
