Universidad Central vs Rosario Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3
  • Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 5
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, Inter

Chances of winning


Universidad Central
16.5%
Draw
25%
Rosario Central
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.8% 27.2% 51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3% 26.6% 52.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Central's form might have worsened.
  • Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosario Central's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosario Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Universidad Central - Rosario Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.71
    (4.34)
    3.75
    (3.47)
    1.61
    (1.85)
    6.4%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Universidad Central - Rosario Central?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Universidad Central will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rosario will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.75 - Rosario (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Universidad Central is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rosario is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Universidad Central may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rosario is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Komar J. (Heart Problems) Ruben M. (Muscle Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ22006:156
    2Estudiantes L.P21103:214
    3Ind. Medellin20112:5-31
    4Cusco20021:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional21104:224
    2Coquimbo21103:124
    3Deportes Tolima20111:3-21
    4U. de Deportes20110:2-21


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia22003:126
    2La Guaira20201:102
    3Fluminense20111:2-11
    4Bolivar20111:2-11


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors22005:146
    2U. Catolica21013:303
    3Cruzeiro21012:203
    4Barcelona SC20020:4-40


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians22004:046
    2Platense21012:3-13
    3Penarol20112:3-11
    4Santa Fe20111:3-21


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras21103:214
    2Sporting Cristal21012:203
    3Cerro Porteno21011:103
    4Junior20111:2-11


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito22003:036
    2Mirassol21011:2-13
    3Lanus21011:103
    4Always Ready20020:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21103:124
    2Rosario Central21101:014
    3Universidad Central21014:403
    4Libertad Asuncion20021:4-30

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)