Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (260/330) | 84% (393/470) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 2 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (260/330) | 84% (393/470) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (9/38) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (119/158) | 55% (40/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Arai I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sawada T. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
- 53', Shindo R. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 0, Miki T. ⚽, Hashimoto Y. (A),
- 65', Yamasaki R. ↓, Thiago ↑,
- 68', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Campbell N. ↑,
- 74', Usui S. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
- 74', Shigemi M. ↓, Kitajima Y. ↑,
- 85', Nago S. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
- 86', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Yamawaki K. ↑,
- 86', Yamaguchi H. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
- 86', Arai I. ↓, Onaga H. ↑,
- 90+1', Nara T. ↓, Kamijima T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka
37.7% | Draw
30.5% | V-Varen Nagasaki
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Avispa Fukuoka - V-Varen Nagasaki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.46) |
3.07 ↓
(3.26) |
2.95 ↑
(2.9) |
6.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - V-Varen Nagasaki?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 50%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano
(Knee Injury)
Nagura T.
(Illness)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against V-Varen Nagasaki?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Avispa Fukuoka?
V-Varen Nagasaki has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - V-Varen Nagasaki were as follows:
15.03.2026
V-Varen Nagasaki
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:0
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
