Result
1:2
18/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (269/386) | 78% (353/454) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (269/386) | 78% (353/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (22/76) | 27% (17/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (62/110) | 62% (77/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 42 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Thiago ⚽,
- 27', Thiago ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
- 35', Yoon S. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Okugawa M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kasayanagi T. ↓, Campbell N. ↑,
- 65', Hiraoka T. ↓, Honda F. ↑,
- 67', Yamada R. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
- 67', Kushibiki K. ↓, Teruyama H. ↑,
- 73', Okugawa M. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Henrique Trevisan ⚽,
- 77', Joao Pedro 🟨,
- 84', Arai H. ↓, Gustavo Barreto ↑,
- 84', Sekiguchi M. ↓, Yoneda S. ↑,
- 84', Marco Tulio ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
Chances of winning
V-Varen Nagasaki
33.8% | Draw
28.1% | Kyoto Sanga
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+4%)
V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↓
(3.04) |
3.32 ↓
(3.47) |
2.46 ↑
(2.27) |
6.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- V-Varen Nagasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano
(Knee Injury)
Nagura T.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kyoto: Rafael Elias
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 0.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 0.9:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Kyoto Sanga?
V-Varen Nagasaki has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against V-Varen Nagasaki?
Kyoto Sanga has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
