Virtus Entella vs Avellino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Comunale (Chiavari).

Serie B - Round 30
Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.52	0.49
Ball possession
59%	41%
Total shots
19	6
Shots on target
5	3
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	5
Passes
84% (422/502)	79% (277/351)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.52	0.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.22	1.07
Total shots
19	6
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked shots
7	1
Shots inside the box
14	4
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
1	1
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	5
Touches in opposition box
24	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
17	16
Passes
84% (422/502)	79% (277/351)
Long passes
53% (39/73)	42% (29/69)
Passes in final third
75% (112/150)	68% (50/74)
Crosses
27% (9/33)	18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.19	0.42
Throw ins
20	23
Fouls
16	17
Tackles
50% (8/16)	62% (13/21)
Duels won
58	64
Clearances
11	39
Interceptions
5	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.07	2.22
Goals prevented
-0.93	1.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Sala M. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Russo R. ⚽, Izzo A. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Cancellotti T. ⚽, Palumbo M. (A),
43', Parodi L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Palmiero L. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
55', Karic N. ↓, Franzoni A. ↑,
55', Parodi L. ↓, Del Lungo T. ↑,
58', Besaggio M. ↓, Kumi J. ↑,
58', Tutino G. ↓, Biasci T. ↑,
67', Bariti D. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
67', Debenedetti A. ↓, Guiu B. ↑,
71', Russo R. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
79', Benedetti L. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
79', Sala M. ↓, Milani A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Tiritiello A. ⚽, Del Lungo T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Virtus Entella
38.1%

Draw
32.9%

Avellino
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

32.2%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

31.2%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Entella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Virtus Entella - Avellino Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.21)	2.87 ↓ (2.9)	3.17 ↓ (3.67)	6.4% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Virtus Entella - Avellino?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Virtus Entella (2.17) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Avellino (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Virtus Entella could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Virtus Entella: Marconi I. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Avellino: D'Andrea L. (Inactive) Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Pandolfi L. (Inactive) Patierno C. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Mezzoni F. (Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Avellino?

Virtus Entella has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Virtus Entella?

Avellino has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Virtus Entella - Avellino were as follows:

27.09.2025 Avellino - Virtus Entella 2:0

10.05.2025 Virtus Entella - Avellino 1:1

Latest results of Virtus Entella

07.03.2026 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella 0:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Virtus Entella - Modena 2:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Monza - Virtus Entella 2:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Virtus Entella - Catanzaro 1:3 ✺

14.02.2026 Palermo - Virtus Entella 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Avellino

07.03.2026 Avellino - Padova 1:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Venezia - Avellino 4:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Avellino - Juve Stabia 0:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Reggiana - Avellino 1:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Avellino - Pescara 0:1 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	32	20	8	4	64:27	37	68
2	Frosinone	32	18	11	3	62:32	30	65
3	Monza	32	19	8	5	50:26	24	65
4	Palermo	32	17	10	5	52:27	25	61
5	Catanzaro	31	14	10	7	49:38	11	52
6	Modena	31	14	8	9	42:25	17	50
7	Juve Stabia	32	10	15	7	38:38	0	45
8	Cesena	32	12	7	13	41:47	-6	43
9	Carrarese	32	9	12	11	41:42	-1	39
10	Avellino	32	10	9	13	37:51	-14	39
11	Sudtirol	32	8	14	10	34:35	-1	38
12	Empoli	32	8	12	12	43:47	-4	36
13	Padova	32	8	10	14	32:43	-11	34
14	Mantova	32	9	7	16	36:48	-12	34
15	Sampdoria	32	8	10	14	31:43	-12	34
16	Entella	32	8	10	14	31:45	-14	34
17	Bari	32	7	10	15	30:50	-20	31
18	Spezia	32	7	9	16	31:46	-15	30
19	Reggiana	32	7	9	16	30:49	-19	30
20	Pescara	32	6	11	15	43:58	-15	29

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
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