Casa Pia vs Vitoria Guimarães – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
0:0
28/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 16
  • Referee: Filipe L. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalSport TV2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.381.16
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
513
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
73% (208/285)76% (276/363)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.381.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.69
Total shots
513
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
38
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1322
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1123
Passes
73% (208/285)76% (276/363)
Long passes
42% (24/57)23% (13/56)
Passes in final third
65% (53/82)56% (59/105)
Crosses
15% (2/13)15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.330.53
Throw-ins
1827
Fouls
2311
Tackles
50% (6/12)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4752
Clearances
5716
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.690.34
Goals prevented
0.690.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Mitrovic M. 🟨,
  • 30', Oukili Y. 🟨,
  • 41', Maga 🟨,
  • 41', Rocha Livramento D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Maga ↓, Sousa D. ↑,
  • 46', Mitrovic M. ↓, Strata T. ↑,
  • 57', Camara O. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
  • 62', Oukili Y. ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
  • 62', Rocha Livramento D. ↓, Cassiano ↑,
  • 63', Sousa D. 🟨,
  • 74', Brito R. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
  • 79', Miguel Sousa 🟨,
  • 84', Larrazabal G. ↓, Severina X. ↑,
  • 84', Livolant J. ↓, Nsona K. ↑,
  • 84', Samu ↓, Blanco F. ↑,
  • 90+2', Arcanjo T. ↓, Nogueira M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Casa Pia
30.3%		Draw
31.9%		Vitoria Guimarães
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 29.8% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 29.5% 40.1%

Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.12 ↑
(3.11)		 2.97 ↓
(3.17)		 2.49 ↑
(2.38)		 5.9%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Guimarães will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 38.6% – 79.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Casa Pia (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Casa Pia (3.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vitoria Guimarães will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 2 - 40%). Guimarães (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1.
    • Casa Pia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Guimarães's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki (Knee Injury) Mohamed I. (International duty) Svensson M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Guimarães: Beni (International duty) Gustavo (Injury) Mendes J. II. (Yellow Cards) Oliveira N. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Casa Pia: Tchamba D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Guimarães: Rivas Viondi O. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.6:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia 1:0
    28.09.2024 Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães 1:1
    24.02.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia 0:2
    23.09.2023 Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães 0:0
    19.02.2023 Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães 0:0
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    21.12.2025 Tondela - Casa Pia 1:2 ✺
    17.12.2025 Casa Pia - Torreense 1:2 ✺
    13.12.2025 Casa Pia - Gil Vicente 1:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Santa Clara - Casa Pia 1:0 ✺
    29.11.2025 Casa Pia - Alverca 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    23.12.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon 1:4 ✺
    17.12.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - AVS 0:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães 0:1 ✺
    08.12.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente 0:0 ✺
    04.12.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 1:3 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto18171037:43352
    2Sporting CP18143150:94145
    3Benfica18126038:112742
    4Gil Vicente1887324:131131
    5Braga1886432:181430
    6Moreirense1883725:26-127
    7Famalicao1875621:14726
    8Vitoria Guimaraes1874718:23-525
    9Estoril1865733:29423
    10Alverca1872919:28-923
    11Rio Ave1848622:31-920
    12Estrela1847723:32-919
    13Santa Clara1845914:20-617
    14Nacional1845922:28-617
    15Arouca1845919:42-2317
    16Casa Pia18351017:35-1814
    17Tondela18331212:30-1812
    18AFS18041411:44-334

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