Result
1:0
01/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 24
- Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Sportklub 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Serbia | SportKlub 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (470/546) | 70% (221/314) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 78% (135/173) | 54% (49/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (10/29) | 18% (2/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 73% (11/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Mendes J. 🟨,
- 27', Kraev A. 🟨,
- 35', Villanueva M. 🟨,
- 36', Felix V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Arcanjo T. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
- 46', Felix V. ↓, Embalo U. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, Mendes J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
51.5% | Draw
27.9% | Casa Pia
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.81) |
3.37 ↓
(3.53) |
4.6 ↑
(4.55) |
5.7%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 41.5% – 84.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 8 and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 0.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- In this match Guimarães is a favorite.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Gaspar B.
(Muscle Injury)
Gustavo Silva
(Injury)
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.3:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Casa Pia?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Casa Pia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia were as follows:
28.09.2024
Casa Pia
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:1
24.02.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Casa Pia
0:2
23.09.2023
Casa Pia
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:0
19.02.2023
Casa Pia
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:0
29.08.2022
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Casa Pia
0:1
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | FC Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
