Vitoria Guimarães vs Casa Pia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia
Result
1:0
01/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 24
  • Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportklub 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.45
Ball Possession
64%36%
Goal Attempts
1810
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
85
Blocked Shots
43
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
72
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
Free Kicks
189
Offsides
60
Fouls
918
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
2213
Touches in the Opposition Box
2715
Passes
86% (470/546)70% (221/314)
Passes in the final third
78% (135/173)54% (49/91)
Crosses
34% (10/29)18% (2/11)
Tackles
55% (6/11)73% (11/15)
Clearances Total
3329
Interceptions
713

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Mendes J. 🟨,
  • 27', Kraev A. 🟨,
  • 35', Villanueva M. 🟨,
  • 36', Felix V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Arcanjo T. , Santos N. ,
  • 46', Felix V. , Embalo U. ,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Mendes J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães
51.5%
Draw
27.9%
Casa Pia
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 26.8% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 28.6% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.81)
    3.37
    (3.53)
    4.6
    (4.55)
    5.7%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 41.5%84.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 8 and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 0.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Guimarães is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Guimarães: Gaspar B. (Muscle Injury) Gustavo Silva (Injury)
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki (Injury) Mendes C. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.3:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães 1:1
    24.02.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia 0:2
    23.09.2023 Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães 0:0
    19.02.2023 Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães 0:0
    29.08.2022 Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia 0:1
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    22.02.2025 Casa Pia - Gil Vicente 1:0
    15.02.2025 Moreirense - Casa Pia 3:2
    01.02.2025 Santa Clara - Casa Pia 2:1
    25.01.2025 Casa Pia - Benfica 3:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

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