Result
0:0
28/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 16
- Referee: Filipe L. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (208/285) | 76% (276/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (208/285) | 76% (276/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (24/57) | 23% (13/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (53/82) | 56% (59/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 57 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Mitrovic M. 🟨,
- 30', Oukili Y. 🟨,
- 41', Maga 🟨,
- 41', Rocha Livramento D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Maga ↓, Sousa D. ↑,
- 46', Mitrovic M. ↓, Strata T. ↑,
- 57', Camara O. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
- 62', Oukili Y. ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
- 62', Rocha Livramento D. ↓, Cassiano ↑,
- 63', Sousa D. 🟨,
- 74', Brito R. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
- 79', Miguel Sousa 🟨,
- 84', Larrazabal G. ↓, Severina X. ↑,
- 84', Livolant J. ↓, Nsona K. ↑,
- 84', Samu ↓, Blanco F. ↑,
- 90+2', Arcanjo T. ↓, Nogueira M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
30.3% | Draw
31.9% | Vitoria Guimarães
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(3.11) |
2.97 ↓
(3.17) |
2.49 ↑
(2.38) |
5.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Guimarães will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 38.6% – 79.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vitoria Guimarães will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1.
- Casa Pia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guimarães's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Knee Injury)
Mohamed I.
(International duty)
Svensson M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Guimarães: Beni
(International duty)
Gustavo
(Injury)
Mendes J. II.
(Yellow Cards)
Oliveira N.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Tchamba D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Guimarães: Rivas Viondi O.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.6:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Casa Pia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Casa Pia?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
01.03.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Casa Pia
1:0
28.09.2024
Casa Pia
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:1
24.02.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Casa Pia
0:2
23.09.2023
Casa Pia
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:0
19.02.2023
Casa Pia
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:0
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 35:4 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 46:8 | 38 | 41 |
| 3 | Benfica | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 33:10 | 23 | 36 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Braga | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 26 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 23 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Estoril | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Estrela | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19:28 | -9 | 17 |
| 12 | Alverca | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11:15 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 | Nacional | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 14 |
| 16 | Arouca | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:39 | -22 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9:27 | -18 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11:41 | -30 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
