Result
3:0
27/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 31
- Referee: Bessa J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (388/445) | 80% (259/324) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (388/445) | 80% (259/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (27/44) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (106/132) | 59% (40/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 75% (3/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.41 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Bakoulas T. (Own goal),
- 24', Tome J. 🟨,
- 31', 2 - 0, Mendes J. ⚽, Ramirez J. (A),
- 36', Tome J. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 43', Relvas F. 🟨,
- 44', 3 - 0, Arcanjo T. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Morais T. ↓, Graca J. ↑,
- 58', Pohlmann O. ↓, Novais J. ↑,
- 63', Tiago Silva ↓, Samu ↑,
- 65', Arcanjo T. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
- 68', Ramirez J. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
- 68', Handel T. ↓, Beni ↑,
- 81', Panzo J. ↓, Kostoulas K. ↑,
- 81', Bakoulas T. ↓, Neto M. ↑,
- 82', Samu ↓, Felix V. ↑,
- 85', Andre Luiz 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
65.8% | Draw
21.1% | Rio Ave
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitoria Guimarães's performance.Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Ave might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitoria Guimarães that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Ave could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.68) |
4.45 ↑
(3.76) |
7.17 ↑
(4.97) |
6.2%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 53.9% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 1 - 50%). Rio Ave (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 2.
- Guimarães is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Rio Ave is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Guimarães could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Guimarães is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Embalo U.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Petrasso F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Rio Ave: Kiko Bondoso
(Inactive)
Richards O.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:21 (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:8 (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Rio Ave?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave were as follows:
16.12.2024
Rio Ave
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:2
04.05.2024
Rio Ave
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:1
23.12.2023
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Rio Ave
1:0
15.07.2023
Rio Ave
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:1
14.05.2023
Rio Ave
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:1
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
