Result
0:1
13/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 14
- Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (318/374) | 88% (421/477) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (318/374) | 88% (421/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (18/42) | 58% (28/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 82% (120/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 17% (5/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Vrousai M. 🟨,
- 26', Maga 🟨,
- 29', Petrasso F. 🟨,
- 29', Vrousai M. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Camara O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Maga ↓, Strata T. ↑,
- 46', Petrasso F. ↓, Brabec J. ↑,
- 46', Pohlmann O. ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
- 59', Arcanjo T. ↓, Samu ↑,
- 60', Abascal R. 🟨,
- 63', Beni 🟨,
- 67', Beni ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
- 67', Ndoye A. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
- 70', Clayton 🟨,
- 74', Saviolo N. ↓, Felix V. ↑,
- 79', Abbey N. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
- 79', Nikitscher T. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
- 89', Aguilera Zamora B. ↓, Zoabi K. ↑,
- 90+1', Felix V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rio Ave
30.4% | Draw
29.3% | Vitoria Guimarães
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Ave's form might have worsened.Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitoria Guimarães's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Ave, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitoria Guimarães, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↑
(2.53) |
3.22 ↓
(3.3) |
2.36 ↓
(2.77) |
5.5%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Guimarães will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1.
- In recent matches, Rio Ave has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guimarães is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T.
(Knee Injury)
Ntoi A.
(Yellow Cards)
Rafael Lobato
(Inactive)
Richards O.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Guimarães: Gustavo
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Guimarães: Nogueira G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Rio Ave?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
27.04.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Rio Ave
3:0
16.12.2024
Rio Ave
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:2
04.05.2024
Rio Ave
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:1
23.12.2023
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Rio Ave
1:0
15.07.2023
Rio Ave
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:1
Latest results of Rio Ave
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
