Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 10
- Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.76 | 0.95 |
Ball Possession |
---|
32% | 68% |
Total shots |
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6 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 7 |
Passes |
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70% (201/288) | 83% (501/607) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.76 | 0.95 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.82 | 0.95 |
Total shots |
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6 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 1 |
Shots off target |
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2 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
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10 | 30 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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11 | 13 |
Passes |
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70% (201/288) | 83% (501/607) |
Long passes |
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35% (26/74) | 46% (37/81) |
Passes in final third |
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44% (28/64) | 59% (101/171) |
Crosses |
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29% (2/7) | 36% (10/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.47 | 2.11 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 24 |
Fouls |
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13 | 11 |
Tackles |
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40% (4/10) | 67% (4/6) |
Duels won |
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45 | 45 |
Clearances |
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39 | 15 |
Interceptions |
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3 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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0 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
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0.95 | 0.82 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.05 | -1.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Bugiel O. ⚽, Seddon S. (A),
- 32', 2 - 0, Seddon S. ⚽, Bugiel O. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mullins J. ↓, Abbott G. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Henderson E. ⚽, Onyedinma F. (A),
- 68', Hippolyte M. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
- 76', Bugiel O. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
- 77', Onyedinma F. ↓, McNeilly D. ↑,
- 83', Leahy L. ↓, Boyd-Munce C. ↑,
- 83', Bell S. ↓, Fink B. ↑,
- 90+1', Lewis J. ↓, Bauer P. ↑,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon 32.6% | Draw 29.9% | Wycombe Wanderers 37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
AFC Wimbledon - Wycombe Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.91 ↑ (2.88) |
3.16 ↓ (3.26) |
2.53 ↑ (2.45) |
5.6% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Wycombe Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
AFC Wimbledon will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AFC Wimbledon will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Wycombe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Wycombe: Scowen J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Wycombe: Mullins J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Wycombe Wanderers?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wycombe Wanderers won against AFC Wimbledon?
Wycombe Wanderers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Wycombe Wanderers were as follows:
20.08.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Wycombe Wanderers
1:0
18.11.2023
Wycombe Wanderers
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:0
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Wycombe Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
2 | Stevenage | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
3 | Lincoln | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Cardiff | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
5 | Huddersfield | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Luton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
8 | Stockport County | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
9 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Doncaster | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
11 | Bolton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
12 | Mansfield | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 14 |
13 | Northampton | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 13 |
14 | Wigan | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
15 | Plymouth | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 |
16 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
17 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
18 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
19 | Reading | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
20 | Wycombe | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
21 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
22 | Blackpool | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
23 | Burton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two