Result
0:2
14/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (436/526) | 86% (457/531) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (436/526) | 86% (457/531) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (26/55) | 47% (20/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (92/127) | 80% (110/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
- 55', 0 - 1, Koizumi Y. ⚽, Kakita Y. (A),
- 59', Kida T. ↓, Yamane R. ↑,
- 59', Anderson Lopes ↓, Tono D. ↑,
- 59', Inoue K. ↓, Yan ↑,
- 65', Watai M. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 71', Miyaichi R. ↓, Elber ↑,
- 71', Kato R. ↓, Nagato K. ↑,
- 73', Suwama K. 🟨,
- 78', Kakita Y. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 85', Harada W. ↓, Inukai T. ↑,
- 85', Koizumi Y. ↓, Tezuka K. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 2, Kinoshita K. ⚽, Kubo T. (A),
Chances of winning
Yokohama F. Marinos
32.4% | Draw
27.6% | Kashiwa Reysol
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.67) |
3.39 ↑
(3.23) |
2.42 ↓
(2.64) |
5.7%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 41.5% – 84.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashiwa Reysol will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 3.
- Yokohama FM is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kashiwa is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Yokohama FM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Jean Claude
(Injury)
Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Noguchi R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Popp W.
(Knee Injury)
Quinones J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- We predict that Kashiwa will win today's game, with odds of 2.51.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
05.10.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
29.05.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Kashiwa Reysol
4:0
02.09.2023
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
2:0
10.06.2023
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Kashiwa Reysol
4:3
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 48 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 38:25 | 13 | 48 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 35:23 | 12 | 47 |
| 4 | Machida | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 39:25 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 30:18 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 44 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41:32 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Gamba Osaka | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 34 |
| 12 | Okayama | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 14 | Verdy | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 16:25 | -9 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22:41 | -19 | 25 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 16:32 | -16 | 22 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:45 | -19 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
