Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan, NHK BS1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (533/639) | 69% (214/309) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (533/639) | 69% (214/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/62) | 21% (13/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (132/181) | 36% (29/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 48% (10/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, Koizumi Y. ⚽, Nakama H. (A),
- 45+3', Nakama H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Croux J. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
- 64', Yuri Araujo ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
- 64', Uenaka A. ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
- 64', Tsunoda R. ↓, Deng T. ↑,
- 74', Nakama H. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
- 77', Nakagawa N. ↓, Harakawa R. ↑,
- 86', Diego ↓, Yamanouchi Y. ↑,
- 87', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 87', Kida T. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
- 87', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Mitsumaru H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol
57.2% | Draw
23.2% | Yokohama F. Marinos
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.67) |
4.06 ↓
(4.07) |
4.77 ↑
(4.73) |
5.9%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 50%). Yokohama FM (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Kashiwa (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Yokohama FM (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Kashiwa is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Matsubara K.
(Injury)
Tono D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Watanabe T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kashiwa: Yamada Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:29. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
07.09.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
03.09.2025
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:4
14.05.2025
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:2
05.10.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
29.05.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Kashiwa Reysol
4:0
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
