Result
1:2
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 18
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
Hungary | Match 4 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Ireland | NOW |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Sweden | Telia, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Turkey | Exxen |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (355/460) | 63% (187/299) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (355/460) | 63% (187/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (26/68) | 37% (32/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (108/159) | 52% (64/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 67% (4/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Whitaker C. ⚽, Ironside J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Brough P. 🟨,
- 66', Warren T. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Burns D. ⚽, Walker J. (A),
- 73', Jennings C. 🟨,
- 79', Jennings C. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
- 80', Ironside J. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
- 80', Blacker B. ↓, Smallwood R. ↑,
- 87', Kenneh N. 🟨,
- 87', Rose D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
- 87', Walker J. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
- 90', Whitaker C. ↓, Harris T. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Dennis K. ⚽,
- 90+8', Dennis K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town 55.1% | Draw 24.2% | Tranmere Rovers 20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.2%)The ML Model estimate for Tranmere Rovers aligns with the current prediction.
Grimsby Town - Tranmere Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↓ (1.72) |
3.85 ↑ (3.75) |
4.56 ↑ (4.39) |
6.6% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Tranmere Rovers?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tranmere will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 9 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Tranmere has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Grimsby is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
McEachran G.
(Yellow Cards)
Sweeney J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Tranmere: McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
Lavelle S.
(Inactive)
Svanthorsson J.
(Illness)
Tharme D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: Bristow E.
(Injury)
McGowan A.
(Injury)
Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Tranmere Rovers?
Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Grimsby Town?
Tranmere Rovers has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
04.03.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:1
22.10.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Grimsby Town
0:1
27.01.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:2
07.10.2023
Tranmere Rovers
-
Grimsby Town
2:2
22.04.2023
Tranmere Rovers
-
Grimsby Town
2:0
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League