Result
25/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Lightning
53.9% | Draw
21.3% | Toronto Maple Leafs
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.86) |
4.44 ↑
(4.27) |
3.82 ↑
(3.48) |
5.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 0.
- Tampa Bay has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Tampa Bay is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M.
(Muscle Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
Paul N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Tanev C.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Cirelli A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Hedman V.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Joshua D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tavares J.
(Illness)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 64:74. (average 3.2:3.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:38. (average 3.4:3.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 12 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
08.12.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
2:0
09.04.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:4
20.01.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
5:3
30.11.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:5
21.10.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
5:2
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche | 55 | 34 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 212:138 | 83 |
| 2 | Minnesota Wild | 58 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 196:169 | 78 |
| 3 | Dallas Stars | 57 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 193:160 | 77 |
| 4 | Vegas Golden Knights | 57 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 191:179 | 68 |
| 5 | Utah Mammoth | 57 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 183:157 | 64 |
| 6 | Edmonton Oilers | 58 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 198:194 | 64 |
| 7 | Seattle Kraken | 56 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 162:165 | 63 |
| 8 | Anaheim Ducks | 56 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 23 | 185:195 | 63 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Kings | 56 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 146:161 | 60 |
| 10 | Nashville Predators | 57 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 169:198 | 59 |
| 11 | San Jose Sharks | 55 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 171:193 | 58 |
| 12 | Chicago Blackhawks | 57 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 154:185 | 53 |
| 13 | Winnipeg Jets | 56 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 160:175 | 52 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 56 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 142:169 | 52 |
| 15 | St. Louis Blues | 57 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 147:203 | 49 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 57 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 149:210 | 42 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 55 | 28 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 199:140 | 78 |
| 2 | Carolina Hurricanes | 57 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 197:163 | 78 |
| 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 57 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 199:187 | 72 |
| 4 | Detroit Red Wings | 58 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 174:175 | 72 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 56 | 25 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 192:169 | 70 |
| 6 | Buffalo Sabres | 57 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 195:176 | 70 |
| 7 | Boston Bruins | 57 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 195:182 | 69 |
| 8 | New York Islanders | 58 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 169:162 | 69 |
| 9 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 56 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 179:177 | 65 |
| 10 | Washington Capitals | 59 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 189:177 | 65 |
| 11 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 57 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 188:194 | 63 |
| 12 | Ottawa Senators | 57 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 191:184 | 63 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Flyers | 56 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 167:180 | 61 |
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 57 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 174:191 | 61 |
| 15 | New Jersey Devils | 57 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 27 | 146:175 | 58 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 57 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 151:180 | 50 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
