Result
1:1
18/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 12
- Referee: Bobrovskiy Y. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Russia | Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (316/427) | 66% (208/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (316/427) | 66% (208/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (39/80) | 35% (27/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (80/127) | 53% (59/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (10/31) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Vedernikov D. ⚽, Oganesyan S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Savelyev M. ↑,
- 59', Oganesyan S. ↓, Gorelov P. ↑,
- 64', Rahmanovic A. ↓, Evgenyev R. ↑,
- 64', Lepskii I. ↓, Ignatenko V. ↑,
- 68', Rybchinskiy D. 🟨,
- 71', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,
- 72', Oroz D. ↓, Ivanisenia D. ↑,
- 74', Ovsyannikov B. 🟨,
- 82', Oleynikov I. ↓, Rakov V. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Ignatenko V. ⚽, Akhmetov I. (A),
- 86', Thompson J. ↓, Gurluk E. ↑,
- 86', Bolotov E. ↓, Bubanja V. ↑,
- 90+8', Evgenyev R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Krylya Sovetov
46.5% | Draw
25.3% | Orenburg
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(1.92) |
3.87 ↑
(3.85) |
3.47 ↓
(3.76) |
2.2%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Orenburg will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krylya Sovetov: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 1.
- Recent form of Krylya Sovetov has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Orenburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Krylya Sovetov could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Fernando Costanza
(Yellow Cards)
Rakov V.
(Muscle Injury)
Rasskazov N.
(Yellow Cards)
Vityugov M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Orenburg: Kamilov V.
(Yellow Cards)
Kasimov A.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krylya Sovetov won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Orenburg?
Krylya Sovetov has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Krylya Sovetov?
Orenburg has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg were as follows:
27.04.2025
Krylya Sovetov
-
Orenburg
2:0
20.10.2024
Orenburg
-
Krylya Sovetov
2:2
04.05.2024
Orenburg
-
Krylya Sovetov
2:1
28.10.2023
Krylya Sovetov
-
Orenburg
1:1
02.04.2023
Krylya Sovetov
-
Orenburg
1:1
Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27:8 | 19 | 32 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25:13 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Zenit | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28:11 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Baltika | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20:6 | 14 | 27 |
| 5 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 30:19 | 11 | 27 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22:20 | 2 | 22 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8:16 | -8 | 14 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Sochi | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12:33 | -21 | 8 |
| 16 | Pari NN | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9:25 | -16 | 7 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
