Result
0:1
01/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 10
- Referee: Jakobson J. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Jobarteh M. 🟨,
- 34', Victor Hugo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Karis M. ↓, Miil M. ↑,
- 60', Jobarteh M. ↓, Luts D. ↑,
- 61', Marin P. ↓, Ignatius C. ↑,
- 62', Daniel Cabral 🟨,
- 68', Lang T. ↓, Epton D. ↑,
- 68', Koskor T. ↓, Kauan Pereira ↑,
- 70', Pedro Manoel 🟨,
- 75', Daniel Cabral ↓, Smirnov R. ↑,
- 77', Veelma P. 🟨,
- 77', Tur E. ↓, Lilander M. ↑,
- 81', Thomas Lisboa ↓, Vaino M. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 1, Veelma P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', Ignatius C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Sohna M. P. 🟨,
- 90+8', Miil M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paide LM
66% | Draw
19.4% | Tammeka
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Tammeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Paide LM - Tammeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.38) |
4.71 ↓
(4.8) |
6.29 ↓
(6.52) |
9.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paide LM - Tammeka?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Paide will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paide: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 and 9 in the zone Meistriliiga (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 5.
- Paide is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tammeka has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Paide is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paide won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:12. (average 2.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:4. (average 2.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Tammeka?
Paide LM has won 10 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tammeka won against Paide LM?
Tammeka has won 3 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paide LM - Tammeka were as follows:
12.04.2026
Tammeka
-
Paide LM
1:4
29.10.2025
Paide LM
-
Tammeka
3:0
18.10.2025
Paide LM
-
Tammeka
5:0
23.08.2025
Tammeka
-
Paide LM
0:1
05.04.2025
Paide LM
-
Tammeka
1:0
Latest results of Paide LM
Latest results of Tammeka
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 26:8 | 18 | 24 |
| 2 | Kalju | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:6 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Flora | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Paide | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Harju JK Laagri | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 10 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 9 |
| 10 | Narva | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:29 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
