Spezia vs Nuova Cosenza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
13/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 34
  • Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyDAZN Italia
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDCTV
usaUsaDCTV, Fox Soccer Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.892.15
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
82% (338/414)82% (353/430)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.892.15
xG on target (xGOT)
2.531.74
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
411
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
511
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
614
Passes
82% (338/414)82% (353/430)
Long passes
54% (31/57)50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
66% (78/118)68% (90/133)
Crosses
46% (6/13)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.071.59
Throw-ins
1722
Fouls
146
Tackles
82% (9/11)59% (10/17)
Duels won
3358
Clearances
4016
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.742.53
Goals prevented
0.74-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Elia S. ,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Kouda R. , Vignali L. (A),
  • 45+3', 3 - 0, Esposito F. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 3 - 1, Artistico G. , Cimino B. (A),
  • 53', Wisniewski P. 🟨,
  • 63', Ricci G. , D'Orazio T. ,
  • 63', Cimino B. , Ricciardi M. ,
  • 63', Venturi M. , Caporale A. ,
  • 63', Lapadula G. , Di Serio G. ,
  • 64', Di Serio G. 🟨,
  • 77', Gargiulo M. , Charlys ,
  • 77', Kouda R. , Candelari P. ,
  • 82', Elia S. , Ferrer S. ,
  • 82', Cassata F. , Falcinelli D. ,
  • 88', Florenzi A. , Contiero L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Spezia
72.2%
Draw
17.3%
Nuova Cosenza
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 22.3% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2% 21.5% 12.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spezia's performance.
  • Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Spezia - Nuova Cosenza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.44)
    5.41
    (4.21)
    9.06
    (7.27)
    6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Spezia - Nuova Cosenza?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 73.9%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Cosenza (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Spezia (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Cosenza (6.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Cosenza (3.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - Spezia (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Spezia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Spezia (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Cosenza (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Spezia is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Spezia: Bertola N. (Red Card) Degli Innocenti D. (Injury) Reca A. (Injury) Sarr M. (Shoulder Injury) Soleri E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cosenza: Garritano L. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Spezia won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:1 (average 3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Nuova Cosenza were as follows:
    28.08.2024 Nuova Cosenza - Spezia 0:0
    05.05.2024 Nuova Cosenza - Spezia 2:2
    28.10.2023 Spezia - Nuova Cosenza 0:0
    Latest results of Spezia
    09.05.2025 Spezia - Cremonese 2:3
    04.05.2025 Reggiana - Spezia 2:1
    01.05.2025 Spezia - Salernitana 2:0
    25.04.2025 Frosinone - Spezia 2:2
    13.04.2025 Mantova - Spezia 2:2
    Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia ✔ 372310475:314479
    2Frosinone372212371:343778
    3Monza37229659:302975
    4Palermo372012561:313072
    5Catanzaro ✔ 371514860:481259
    6Modena ✔ 3715101249:351455
    7Juve Stabia ✔ 371117943:44-150
    8Avellino3712101542:55-1346
    9Cesena3712101542:52-1046
    10Mantova371371745:52-746
    11Carrarese3710141346:50-444
    12Sampdoria3711111535:47-1244
    13Padova3711101635:46-1143
    14Empoli379131545:52-740
    15Sudtirol378161337:47-1040
    16Entella379121634:50-1639
    17Bari379101835:58-2337
    18Pescara377131750:65-1534
    19Spezia378101942:58-1634
    20Reggiana378101935:56-2134

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
    Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)