Independiente Medellín vs Rionegro Águilas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A
03/05/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
61.6%		Draw
23.3%		Rionegro Águilas
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 21.5% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 20.5% 14.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Medellín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-1%)
    •

    Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.51 ↑
    (1.47)    		 4.02 ↓
    (4.35)    		 6.14 ↓
    (6.32)    		 7.5%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -2 - Ind Medellín (3.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.25 - Ind Medellín (3.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Ind Medellín (4.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.75 - Ind Medellín (5.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3 - Ind Medellín (7.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Ind Medellín (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Ind Medellín (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25, 1st Half - Ind Medellín (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75, 1st Half - Ind Medellín (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1, 1st Half - Ind Medellín (3.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Ind Medellín (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Ind Medellín (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Ind Medellín (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Ind Medellín (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Ind Medellín (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - Ind Medellín (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Ind Medellín (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25, 2nd Half - Ind Medellín (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5, 2nd Half - Ind Medellín (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75, 2nd Half - Ind Medellín (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1, 2nd Half - Ind Medellín (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25, 2nd Half - Ind Medellín (3.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2, 2nd Half - Ind Medellín (8.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75, 2nd Half - Ind Medellín (5.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, 2nd Half - Ind Medellín (3.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25, 1st Half - Ind Medellín (3.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1, 1st Half - Ind Medellín (5.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -2 - Ind Medellín (4.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente Medellín will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 30 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 1.
    • Ind Medellín has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rionegro Águilas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rionegro Águilas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ind Medellín is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:
    08.10.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín 2:1
    29.03.2025 Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas 0:0
    14.09.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín 1:1
    03.03.2024 Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas 1:0
    25.08.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín 1:1
    Latest results of Independiente Medellín
    25.04.2026 Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF 1:0
    22.04.2026 Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó 2:0 ✺
    19.04.2026 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín 0:1 ✺
    16.04.2026 Flamengo - Independiente Medellín 4:1 ✺
    11.04.2026 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
    26.04.2026 Rionegro Águilas - Once Caldas 2:2 ✺
    18.04.2026 Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas 2:0 ✺
    11.04.2026 Rionegro Águilas - Junior Barranquilla 0:3 ✺
    07.04.2026 Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1 ✺
    31.03.2026 Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas 4:1 ✺
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 18131435:142140
    2Dep. Pasto ✔ 18104426:21534
    3Junior ✔ 18102627:21632
    4Deportes Tolima ✔ 1886426:161030
    5America De Cali ✔ 1893624:15930
    6Once Caldas ✔ 1879230:22830
    7Inter Bogotu00e11877425:23228
    8Santa Fe1868426:21526
    9Dep. Cali1875619:15426
    10Ind. Medellin1875625:22326
    11Millonarios1874729:21825
    12Bucaramanga1858525:18723
    13Aguilas1865718:24-623
    14Llaneros18410417:17022
    15Fortaleza1847720:26-619
    16Cucuta1837822:33-1116
    17Alianza1837811:25-1416
    18Jaguares de Cordoba18431118:33-1515
    19Chico18421212:32-2014
    20Pereira18171015:31-1610

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    Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
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