Result
2:1
08/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 11
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (151/230) | 80% (346/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (151/230) | 80% (346/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/65) | 57% (35/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (39/82) | 75% (125/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 27% (8/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 40% (4/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.55 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Puerta M. ⚽,
- 17', 2 - 0, Hernandez D. ⚽, Caballero J. (A),
- 37', Lopes H. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 1, Palacios J. ⚽, Barrera J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Charales F. ↑,
- 65', Leon B. 🟨,
- 69', Charales F. 🟨,
- 69', Perlaza B. ↓, Berrio L. ↑,
- 70', Berrio L. 🟨,
- 72', Puerta M. 🟨,
- 76', Puerta M. ↓, Lozano D. ↑,
- 78', Mena Perea E. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 78', Leon B. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 79', Hernandez D. 🟨,
- 83', Chaverra F. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 84', Loboa H. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
- 89', Caballero J. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
- 89', Ramirez M. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 89', Obregon J. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2ebd2f2c
Chances of winning
Rionegro Águilas
23.6% | Draw
28% | Independiente Medellín
48.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.91 ↑
(3.75) |
3.33 ↑
(3.2) |
1.95 ↓
(1.96) |
6.8%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Ind Medellín (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Rionegro Águilas (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Independiente Medellín will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Medellín will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ind Medellín (votes: 8 - 88.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 0.
- Rionegro Águilas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ind Medellín is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ind Medellín is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Independiente Medellín?
Rionegro Águilas has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Rionegro Águilas?
Independiente Medellín has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
29.03.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Rionegro Águilas
0:0
14.09.2024
Rionegro Águilas
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
03.03.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Rionegro Águilas
1:0
25.08.2023
Rionegro Águilas
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
04.03.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Rionegro Águilas
3:0
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Fortaleza | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:17 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
