Result
0:2
17/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Bessa J. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Pedro Sa 🟥,
- 11', Mamede ↓, Lobato S. ↑,
- 13', Alloh T. ↓, Carbonell A. ↑,
- 19', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 45+6', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 45+9', 0 - 1, Monteiro T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Davo ↓, Miguel J. ↑,
- 56', Joao Reis 🟨,
- 63', lano Imbene ↓, Negrao G. ↑,
- 67', Xico 🟨,
- 70', Djassi D. ↓, Canario F. ↑,
- 78', Joao Reis ↓, Thauan Lara ↑,
- 78', Monteiro T. ↓, Dauda M. ↑,
- 81', Xico ↓, Schutte R. ↑,
- 81', Alcaina R. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
- 84', Negrao G. 🟨,
- 85', Maycon Cleiton 🟨,
- 85', 0 - 2, Cagro W. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Penafiel
42% | Draw
28.6% | Portimonense
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Penafiel - Portimonense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.25) |
3.24 ↓
(3.32) |
3.13 ↑
(3.07) |
8.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Portimonense?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Portimonense will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Portimonense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Penafiel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Portimonense?
Penafiel has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portimonense won against Penafiel?
Portimonense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Portimonense were as follows:
09.08.2025
Portimonense
-
Penafiel
2:1
21.02.2025
Penafiel
-
Portimonense
3:0
28.09.2024
Portimonense
-
Penafiel
0:2
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Portimonense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 9 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
