Penafiel vs Portimonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
17/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 18
  • Referee: Bessa J. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
415
Shots on target
16
Corner kicks
22
Yellow cards
42
Red cards
20
Total shots
415
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
39
Corner kicks
22
Offsides
10
Free kicks
914
Throw ins
1827
Fouls
128

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', Pedro Sa 🟥,
  • 11', Mamede , Lobato S. ,
  • 13', Alloh T. , Carbonell A. ,
  • 19', Sanchez J. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Sanchez J. 🟨,
  • 45+9', 0 - 1, Monteiro T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Davo , Miguel J. ,
  • 56', Joao Reis 🟨,
  • 63', lano Imbene , Negrao G. ,
  • 67', Xico 🟨,
  • 70', Djassi D. , Canario F. ,
  • 78', Joao Reis , Thauan Lara ,
  • 78', Monteiro T. , Dauda M. ,
  • 81', Xico , Schutte R. ,
  • 81', Alcaina R. , Sery J. ,
  • 84', Negrao G. 🟨,
  • 85', Maycon Cleiton 🟨,
  • 85', 0 - 2, Cagro W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Penafiel
42%
Draw
28.6%
Portimonense
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 28.1% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 27% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Penafiel - Portimonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.25)
    3.24
    (3.32)
    3.13
    (3.07)
    8.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Penafiel - Portimonense?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Portimonense will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Portimonense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Penafiel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Portimonense were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Portimonense - Penafiel 2:1
    21.02.2025 Penafiel - Portimonense 3:0
    28.09.2024 Portimonense - Penafiel 0:2
    Latest results of Penafiel
    21.12.2025 Penafiel - Torreense 1:0
    12.12.2025 Porto B - Penafiel 1:0
    05.12.2025 Penafiel - Leiria 1:0
    Latest results of Portimonense
    11.01.2026 Portimonense - Felgueiras 0:0
    03.01.2026 Farense - Portimonense 0:1
    20.12.2025 Chaves - Portimonense 0:1
    14.12.2025 Portimonense - Leixões 1:2
    07.12.2025 Lusitânia - Portimonense 3:2
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo24145538:191947
    2Academico Viseu24135644:261844
    3Sporting CP B241221037:231438
    4FC Porto B24114931:31037
    5Torreense241131028:27136
    6Leiria2398634:31335
    7Vizela2498730:28235
    8Lusitania FC2497833:37-434
    9Feirense2488828:27132
    10Benfica B24710733:31231
    11Leixoes24941127:40-1331
    12Chaves24861027:24330
    13Felgueiras2478924:30-629
    14Penafiel24771021:23-228
    15SC Farense24761122:31-927
    16Oliveirense24681026:33-726
    17Pacos Ferreira2359920:32-1224
    18Portimonense24661225:35-1024

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