Result
0:1
03/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Feliz 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Afonso A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Duda ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
- 46', Oliveira J. ↓, Lopes L. ↑,
- 66', Afonso A. ↓, Valente A. ↑,
- 72', Paulo D. 🟨,
- 76', Morgado T. 🟨,
- 78', Souza E. ↓, Gastao J. ↑,
- 83', Barros E. 🟨,
- 85', Feliz ↓, Joel ↑,
- 85', Reko Silva ↓, Daniel J. ↑,
- 85', Diagne O. ↓, Lobo G. ↑,
- 90', Morgado T. ↓, Teixeira J. ↑,
- 90', Horta Leitao D. ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Trofense
26.6% | Draw
27.6% | Belenenses
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belenenses's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belenenses, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Trofense - Belenenses Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↑
(3.06) |
3.34 ↑
(2.94) |
2.01 ↓
(2.35) |
8.6%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Trofense - Belenenses?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Belenenses will win (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Trofense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Belenenses is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Belenenses?
Trofense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Trofense?
Belenenses has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Belenenses were as follows:
07.02.2026
Belenenses
-
Trofense
0:0
22.09.2024
Belenenses
-
Trofense
3:0
Latest results of Trofense
Latest results of Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Academica | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Mafra | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 | Varzim | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 9 |
| 7 | Trofense | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 8 | Santarem | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:14 | -6 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
