Result
1:0
22/12/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 15
- Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Benfica TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 1, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (442/520) | 84% (360/427) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (442/520) | 84% (360/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 53% (28/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (91/132) | 73% (72/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', De Haas J. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Pavlidis V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Araujo T. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
- 69', De Amorim M. ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
- 69', Rafa Soares ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 80', Sorriso ↓, Beney R. ↑,
- 81', Pavlidis V. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
- 81', Sudakov G. ↓, Rego R. ↑,
- 87', Prestianni G. ↓, Manu ↑,
Chances of winning
Benfica
70.9% | Draw
18.7% | Famalicão
10.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Benfica - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.34) |
5.12 ↑
(5.09) |
8.91 ↑
(8.83) |
5.8%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Benfica - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 29 - 80.6%). Famalicão will win (votes: 2 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 67.7% – 93.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Famalicão (1.73) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -1 - Benfica (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Benfica (2.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Famalicão (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3.
- Benfica has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Famalicão has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Famalicão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Benfica is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Benfica: Bah A.
(Knee Injury)
Barreiro L.
(Injury)
Bruma
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Felix N.
(Knee Injury)
Lukebakio D.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Famalicão: Abubakar U.
(Inactive)
Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
Pastor G.
(Inactive)
Pedro Bondo
(International duty)
- We predict that Benfica will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:10. (average 2.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:2. (average 2.5:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Famalicão?
Benfica has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Benfica?
Famalicão has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Famalicão were as follows:
17.01.2025
Benfica
-
Famalicão
4:0
11.08.2024
Famalicão
-
Benfica
2:0
05.05.2024
Famalicão
-
Benfica
2:0
29.12.2023
Benfica
-
Famalicão
3:0
25.11.2023
Benfica
-
Famalicão
2:0
Latest results of Benfica
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
