Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 05:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (336/444) | 64% (175/273) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (336/444) | 64% (175/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (15/43) | 37% (28/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (121/176) | 51% (53/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (8/36) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Kamiya Yuta 🟨,
- 32', Mori S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 60', Mori S. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 1, Sato Y. ⚽, Inagaki S. (A),
- 62', Kimura T. ↓, Kato H. ↑,
- 62', Matsumoto M. ↓, Yanagi T. ↑,
- 73', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 73', Esaka A. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 76', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
- 76', Nagai K. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 79', Nakayama K. 🟨,
- 90', Nakayama K. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
- 90', Morishima T. ↓, Kato G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fagiano Okayama
33.9% | Draw
30.7% | Nagoya Grampus
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Fagiano Okayama - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(2.84) |
3.05 ↓
(3.07) |
2.66 ↑
(2.55) |
6.6%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Nagoya Grampus?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Okayama: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 2 - 50%). Nagoya (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16).
- Okayama has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nagoya has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K.
(Red Card)
Kikuchi T.
(Knee Injury)
Mateus
(Ankle Injury)
Schmidt D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Okayama: Motoyama H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Nagoya Grampus?
Fagiano Okayama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Fagiano Okayama?
Nagoya Grampus has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
06.05.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Fagiano Okayama
0:0
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 65 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 48:33 | 15 | 60 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 58 |
| 6 | Machida | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 52 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 50 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 50:49 | 1 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Okayama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Tokyo | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 40 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32:44 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21:37 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 30:55 | -25 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
