Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
18/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV, EA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.47
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
86% (474/549)79% (319/402)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.030.68
Total shots
137
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
3312
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
118
Passes
86% (474/549)79% (319/402)
Long passes
49% (20/41)51% (34/67)
Passes in final third
81% (143/177)62% (68/110)
Crosses
14% (2/14)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.76
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
811
Tackles
76% (16/21)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5048
Clearances
1723
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.682.03
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. , Forsberg E. (A), Berggren G. (A2)
  • 15', Edelman D. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Herrera A. , Lappalainen L. (A), Arfsten M. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lappalainen L. , Gazdag D. ,
  • 59', Edwards R. , Carmona W. ,
  • 59', Gjengaar D. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 61', Russell-Rowe J. , Habroune T. ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Gazdag D. ,
  • 70', Nealis D. 🟨,
  • 74', Nealis D. , Duncan K. ,
  • 74', Valencia O. , Hall J. ,
  • 74', Choupo-Moting E. M. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 82', Chambost D. , Aliyu I. ,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Aliyu I. ,
  • 89', Moreira S. , Ruvalcaba C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Columbus Crew
61.3%
Draw
22.3%
New York Red Bulls
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 22.6% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 20.2% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Columbus Crew that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.58)
    4.3
    (4.2)
    5.8
    (5.43)
    4.3%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Columbus will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Columbus (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Columbus (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 2.
    • Columbus has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY Red Bulls has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Columbus has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Columbus is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Columbus: Abou Ali W. (Ankle Injury) Farsi M. (Pelvis Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Knee Injury) Marcucci A. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Eile N. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    30.08.2025 New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew 0:0
    03.11.2024 New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew 3:2
    29.10.2024 Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls 0:1
    19.10.2024 New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew 2:3
    16.03.2024 Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls 3:0
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)