Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 20
- Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (448/521) | 80% (302/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (448/521) | 80% (302/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (45/74) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (81/112) | 71% (67/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Biasci T. ⚽, Tutino G. (A),
- 13', 1 - 1, Rubino T. ⚽, Abiuso F. (A),
- 23', Rubino T. 🟨,
- 33', Bouah D. ↓, Zanon S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Tutino G. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 48', Oliana F. 🟨,
- 63', Belloni N. ↓, Cicconi M. ↑,
- 63', Rubino T. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 63', Palumbo M. ↓, Sounas D. ↑,
- 64', Biasci T. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Abiuso F. ⚽,
- 72', Palmiero L. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
- 73', Sounas D. 🟨,
- 76', Cancellotti T. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
- 86', Abiuso F. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
- 86', Zuelli E. ↓, Parlanti G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Avellino
42.3% | Draw
29.9% | Carrarese
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Avellino - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.74) |
3.12 ↑
(2.88) |
3.34 ↑
(2.79) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Avellino - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.9% – 73.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Avellino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Avellino: Insigne R.
(Calf Injury)
Kumi J.
(Injury)
Rigione M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F.
(Inactive)
Imperiale M.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Avellino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Carrarese?
Avellino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Avellino?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Carrarese were as follows:
21.09.2025
Carrarese
-
Avellino
3:4
Latest results of Avellino
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 47 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40:19 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Monza | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 34:18 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Palermo | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 33:14 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Modena | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:17 | 11 | 34 |
| 6 | Cesena | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 29:27 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 34 |
| 8 | Catanzaro | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 28 |
| 11 | Empoli | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
| 12 | Avellino | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27:35 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Padova | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 22 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | Entella | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:29 | -10 | 21 |
| 17 | Spezia | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19:29 | -10 | 20 |
| 18 | Mantova | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 20 |
| 19 | Bari | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 18:34 | -16 | 20 |
| 20 | Pescara | 22 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 27:44 | -17 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
