Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus
Result
1:1
11/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 16
Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.471.41
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
72% (284/395)68% (242/358)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.471.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.131.04
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
916
Passes
72% (284/395)68% (242/358)
Long passes
27% (17/64)41% (34/83)
Passes in final third
67% (94/140)56% (52/93)
Crosses
7% (1/15)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.57
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
169
Tackles
77% (10/13)100% (11/11)
Duels won
4462
Clearances
926
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.040.13
Goals prevented
0.04-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Takeda S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Joao Pedro , Okugawa M. ,
  • 46', Murilo de Souza , Nagasawa S. ,
  • 59', Uchida T. , Tokumoto S. ,
  • 59', Izumi R. , Asano Y. ,
  • 62', Matsuda T. , Hiraga S. ,
  • 66', Sugai H. , Sato K. ,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Nagasawa S. ,
  • 78', Shiihashi K. , Morishima T. ,
  • 78', Mateus , Nagai K. ,
  • 83', Nakayama K. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Inagaki S. ,
  • 89', Takeda S. , Yonemoto T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kyoto Sanga
40.1%
Draw
29.1%
Nagoya Grampus
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 27.7% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 28.1% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.31)
    3.22
    (3.39)
    3.04
    (2.98)
    6.5%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Gu Sung-Yun (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K. (Calf Injury) Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kyoto: Hara T. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
    07.08.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 3:2
    26.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:1
    16.07.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 2:1
    25.02.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    08.10.2022 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 1:1
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashiwa Reysol23128331:201144
    2Vissel Kobe23134632:211143
    3Kyoto23125638:271141
    4Kashima Antlers23132833:221141
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima23123827:18939
    6Kawasaki Frontale23108537:241338
    7Machida23114833:25837
    8Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    9Cerezo Osaka2396834:30433
    10Gamba Osaka23941027:30-331
    11Okayama2386919:20-130
    12Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    13Nagoya Grampus2377928:30-228
    14Verdy2377915:23-828
    15Shimizu S-Pulse23761027:32-527
    16FC Tokyo23751124:32-826
    17Shonan Bellmare22651116:30-1423
    18Yokohama FC23541414:28-1419
    19Albirex Niigata23471224:39-1519
    20Yokohama F. Marinos23461320:32-1218

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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