Result
2:1 penalties
22/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (209/290) | 72% (233/322) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (209/290) | 72% (233/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (12/46) | 45% (29/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (89/122) | 71% (97/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 29% (9/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 33% (4/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Koda H. ⚽, Nogami Y. (A),
- 35', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sato K. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
- 59', Nogami Y. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
- 59', Morishima T. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
- 61', Arai H. ↓, Honda F. ↑,
- 61', Hiraoka T. ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
- 65', Hirato T. 🟨,
- 73', Nakano R. ↓, Souza Alex ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Marco Tulio ⚽, Hirato T. (A),
- 80', Koda H. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
- 80', Izumi R. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
- 81', Souza Alex 🟨,
- 90', Honda F. 🟨,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Inagaki S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Marco Tulio (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Takamine T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Okugawa M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Nakayama K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Hirato T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Mikuni K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Yoon S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Nagai K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Fukuda S. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga
38.8% | Draw
28.1% | Nagoya Grampus
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.32) |
3.35 ↓
(3.47) |
2.83 ↓
(2.95) |
6.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Nogami Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Nagoya Grampus?
Kyoto Sanga has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kyoto Sanga?
Nagoya Grampus has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
10.08.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:2
11.05.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:1
07.08.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Nagoya Grampus
3:2
26.05.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:1
16.07.2023
Kyoto Sanga
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:1
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
