Result
14/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2, Win Sports |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Greece | ERT 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (231/304) | 85% (378/443) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (231/304) | 85% (378/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 40% (17/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (53/90) | 73% (63/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 40% (4/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 2.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Sandoval L. 🟨,
- 37', Boggio L. 🟨,
- 41', Pedrozo D. 🟨,
- 45+3', Rovira B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Calione P. ↓, Silvera M. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Gomez M. ⚽, Lopez N. (A),
- 62', Pedrozo D. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
- 62', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Coates S. ⚽, Lopez N. (A),
- 77', Trujillo C. ↓, Barbosa Gomez S. P. ↑,
- 77', Sandoval L. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
- 77', Hernandez J. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
- 79', Rogel A. 🟨,
- 80', 2 - 1, Rovira B. ⚽,
- 85', Lodeiro N. ↓, dos Santos A. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Lopez N. ⚽, dos Santos A. (A),
- 90', Lopez N. 🟨,
- 90+2', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Lopez N. ↓, Nunez P. ↑,
- 90+3', Guzman S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Boggio L. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
48.9% | Draw
29% | Deportes Tolima
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Nacional Montevideo - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.84) |
3.25 ↓
(3.42) |
4.26 ↓
(4.42) |
5.7%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Deportes Tolima?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Deportes Tolima has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Nacional is seen as the favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Deportes Tolima?
Nacional Montevideo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Nacional Montevideo?
Deportes Tolima has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Penarol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Platense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Universidad Central | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
