Result
2:0
24/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (254/320) | 78% (286/365) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (254/320) | 78% (286/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 47% (24/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (96/125) | 60% (65/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Sarmiento J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Salazar J. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 0, Gutierrez T. ⚽, Rivas J. (A),
- 48', Castrillon B. 🟨,
- 59', Castrillon B. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
- 62', De Las Salas C. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
- 62', Charrupi F. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 65', Gutierrez T. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
- 65', Sarmiento J. ↓, Rivera H. ↑,
- 68', Charrupi G. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 69', Charrupi G. 🟨,
- 71', Romana C. 🟨,
- 80', Londono K. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 80', Barrios C. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
- 80', Rivas J. ↓, Shmalbach A. ↑,
- 86', Muriel L. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3r3usa2y
Chances of winning
Junior Barranquilla 42.3% | Draw 30.4% | Atlético Bucaramanga 27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↑ (2.02) |
3.07 ↓ (3.21) |
3.43 ↓ (3.73) |
7.1% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Junior (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Junior is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 0.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Junior Barranquilla has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Junior Barranquilla?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
18.08.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:1
01.03.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:1
18.07.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:0
25.05.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:0
11.05.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Junior Barranquilla
0:0
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 20:15 | 5 | 27 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:17 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Junior | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17:18 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:14 | 9 | 20 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 19 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Fortaleza | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 11 |
| 17 | Alianza | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Cucuta | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18:27 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 | Chico | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Pereira | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )