Result
1:0
19/12/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 15
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 2.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (236/318) | 86% (583/674) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 2.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (236/318) | 86% (583/674) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/57) | 49% (23/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (69/98) | 81% (206/253) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', Jandro 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Lacximicant A. ⚽, Amaral P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Rodrigues D. ↓, Horta R. ↑,
- 61', Vitor Carvalho ↓, Dorgeles M. ↑,
- 62', Guitane R. ↓, Ferro ↑,
- 62', Victor P. 🟨,
- 71', Jandro ↓, Lominadze N. ↑,
- 71', Amaral P. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
- 73', Martinez G. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 73', Gorby ↓, Grillitsch F. ↑,
- 78', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 78', Lacximicant A. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 78', Sanchez R. ↓, Tsoungui A. ↑,
- 82', Parente T. 🟨,
- 83', Moutinho J. ↓, Lelo L. ↑,
- 90+2', Grillitsch F. 🟨,
- 90+2', Garcia F. 🟨,
- 90+5', Tsoungui A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
19.4% | Draw
23.9% | Braga
56.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Estoril Praia - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.88 ↑
(3.87) |
3.97 ↑
(3.39) |
1.68 ↓
(1.88) |
5.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Braga?
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 5 - 11.9%). Braga will win (votes: 31 - 73.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 60.5% – 87.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Braga will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 0.
- Recent form of Estoril has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Braga is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Braga has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Braga is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Estoril: Guitane R.
(International duty)
Xeka
(Injury)
- There will not play in Braga: Niakate S.
(International duty)
Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Vidigal S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G.
(Injury)
Israelov O.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 13:46. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 0.5:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Braga?
Estoril Praia has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Estoril Praia?
Braga has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Braga were as follows:
19.04.2025
Estoril Praia
-
Braga
0:2
06.12.2024
Braga
-
Estoril Praia
2:2
13.04.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Braga
0:1
27.01.2024
Braga
-
Estoril Praia
2:1
03.12.2023
Braga
-
Estoril Praia
3:1
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 35:4 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 46:8 | 38 | 41 |
| 3 | Benfica | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 33:10 | 23 | 36 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Braga | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 26 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 23 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Estoril | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Estrela | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19:28 | -9 | 17 |
| 12 | Alverca | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11:15 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 | Nacional | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 14 |
| 16 | Arouca | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:39 | -22 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9:27 | -18 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11:41 | -30 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
