AFC Wimbledon vs Harrogate Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.33
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
56% (171/308)47% (119/253)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.03
Total shots
158
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2414
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
56% (171/308)47% (119/253)
Long passes
30% (23/76)27% (24/90)
Passes in final third
54% (75/140)46% (42/92)
Crosses
21% (6/29)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.38
Fouls
1012
Tackles
42% (5/12)55% (12/22)
Duels won
6879
Clearances Total
3048
Interceptions
214
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.031.04
Goals prevented
0.020.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Sims T. , Bilongo B. ,
  • 42', Muldoon J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 68', Kelly J. , Foyo O. ,
  • 73', Bugiel O. , Pigott J. ,
  • 73', Stevens M. , Tilley J. ,
  • 73', Cursons T. , Sanderson O. ,
  • 77', 1 - 0, Smith A. , Foyo O. (A),

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
57.6%
Draw
26%
Harrogate Town
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 25% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 24.4% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.57)
    3.64
    (3.75)
    5.69
    (6.03)
    6.3%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: O'Toole J. J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Hill T. (Injury) Moorby J. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Injury) Thomson G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Harrogate: Bilongo B. (Injury) Falkingham J. (Inactive) Foulds M. (Groin Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:3
    29.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town 1:1
    03.10.2023 Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:1
    07.04.2023 Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon 2:2
    29.10.2022 AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town 3:2
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co392171165:422370
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Oldham381613947:311661
    10Crewe391791358:471160
    11Walsall391791348:41760
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League