AFC Wimbledon vs Harrogate Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.33
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
56% (171/308)47% (119/253)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.03
Total shots
158
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2414
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
56% (171/308)47% (119/253)
Long passes
30% (23/76)27% (24/90)
Passes in final third
54% (75/140)46% (42/92)
Crosses
21% (6/29)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.38
Fouls
1012
Tackles
42% (5/12)55% (12/22)
Duels won
6879
Clearances Total
3048
Interceptions
214
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.031.04
Goals prevented
0.020.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Sims T. , Bilongo B. ,
  • 42', Muldoon J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 68', Kelly J. , Foyo O. ,
  • 73', Bugiel O. , Pigott J. ,
  • 73', Stevens M. , Tilley J. ,
  • 73', Cursons T. , Sanderson O. ,
  • 77', 1 - 0, Smith A. , Foyo O. (A),

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
57.6%
Draw
26%
Harrogate Town
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 25% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 24.4% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.57)
    3.64
    (3.75)
    5.69
    (6.03)
    6.3%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: O'Toole J. J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Hill T. (Injury) Moorby J. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Injury) Thomson G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Harrogate: Bilongo B. (Injury) Falkingham J. (Inactive) Foulds M. (Groin Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:3
    29.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town 1:1
    03.10.2023 Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:1
    07.04.2023 Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon 2:2
    29.10.2022 AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town 3:2
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League