Result
1:0
24/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 6
- Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (160/220) | 83% (403/488) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 29 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (160/220) | 83% (403/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (13/44) | 64% (43/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (43/74) | 62% (84/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Rafa Barcelos 🟨,
- 33', Willian Pottker 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Willian Pottker ⚽, Luis Phelipe (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dalbert ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 46', Yago Santos ↓, Jhonatan Lima ↑,
- 46', Willian Pottker ↓, Brandao ↑,
- 56', Kevyson 🟨,
- 56', Segovia M. 🟨,
- 60', Luis Phelipe ↓, Miguel Morais ↑,
- 64', Segovia M. ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
- 64', Eduardo Person ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
- 71', Thalys ↓, Lucas Justen ↑,
- 71', Diego Tavares ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
- 72', Jonathan Cafu 🟨,
- 74', Miguel Morais 🟨,
- 78', Murilo ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
- 80', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
Chances of winning
Ponte Preta
32.7% | Draw
32.2% | América Mineiro
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Ponte Preta - América Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(2.71) |
2.92 ↑
(2.89) |
2.64 ↓
(2.78) |
7.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta - América Mineiro?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - América MG (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. América MG (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 0.
- Ponte Preta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- América MG has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ponte Preta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Ponte Preta: David Braz
(Inactive)
Diego Porfirio
(Inactive)
- There will not play in América MG: Ricardo Silva
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Diego Tavares
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against América Mineiro?
Ponte Preta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Ponte Preta?
América Mineiro has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponte Preta - América Mineiro were as follows:
24.09.2024
Ponte Preta
-
América Mineiro
0:2
09.06.2024
América Mineiro
-
Ponte Preta
2:0
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
