Junior Barranquilla vs Atlético Bucaramanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.460.66
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
25
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
68
Passes
79% (254/320)78% (286/365)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.460.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.610.48
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
35
Shots outside the box
78
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
817
Passes
79% (254/320)78% (286/365)
Long passes
46% (22/48)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
77% (96/125)60% (65/109)
Crosses
7% (1/14)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.56
Throw ins
1512
Fouls
178
Tackles
88% (14/16)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3453
Clearances
3723
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
60
xGOT faced
0.480.61
Goals prevented
0.48-1.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Sarmiento J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Salazar J. , Zarate A. ,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Gutierrez T. , Rivas J. (A),
  • 48', Castrillon B. 🟨,
  • 59', Castrillon B. , Perez K. ,
  • 62', De Las Salas C. , Romana C. ,
  • 62', Charrupi F. , Caicedo B. ,
  • 65', Gutierrez T. , Muriel L. ,
  • 65', Sarmiento J. , Rivera H. ,
  • 68', Charrupi G. , Flores L. ,
  • 69', Charrupi G. 🟨,
  • 71', Romana C. 🟨,
  • 80', Londono K. , Mosquera J. ,
  • 80', Barrios C. , Canchimbo J. ,
  • 80', Rivas J. , Shmalbach A. ,
  • 86', Muriel L. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3r3usa2y

Chances of winning


Junior Barranquilla
42.3%
Draw
30.4%
Atlético Bucaramanga
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 29% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 30.7% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.02)
    3.07
    (3.21)
    3.43
    (3.73)
    7.1%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40%93.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Junior (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Junior is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 0.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
    18.08.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1
    01.03.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla 1:1
    18.07.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla 1:0
    25.05.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:0
    11.05.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla 0:0
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional1290326:91727
    2Dep. Pasto1383220:15527
    3Once Caldas1365224:17723
    4Junior1371519:18122
    5Inter Bogotu00e11356217:18-121
    6Millonarios1362523:14920
    7America De Cali1162316:8820
    8Deportes Tolima1255215:9620
    9Bucaramanga1247116:8819
    10Dep. Cali1344514:12216
    11Aguilas1244412:12016
    12Llaneros1236314:13115
    13Santa Fe1236314:15-115
    14Fortaleza1335514:20-614
    15Ind. Medellin1234516:17-113
    16Jaguares de Cordoba1332811:23-1211
    17Alianza122557:19-1211
    18Cucuta1315718:27-98
    19Chico1222810:20-108
    20Pereira1206612:24-126

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )