Result
2:1
18/08/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.13 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (353/407) | 81% (251/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.13 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (353/407) | 81% (251/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (27/44) | 35% (16/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (93/120) | 62% (47/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Pons L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Rivas J. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
- 46', Castrillon B. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
- 54', Paiva G. (Pen),
- 59', 0 - 1, Gil Mosquera F. A. ⚽, Sambueza F. (A),
- 67', Esparragoza C. ↓, Titi ↑,
- 72', Gil Mosquera F. A. 🟨,
- 72', Enamorado J. 🟨,
- 74', Londono K. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
- 74', Paiva G. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
- 81', Zarate A. 🟨,
- 82', Zarate A. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 82', Sambueza F. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Titi (Pen),
- 89', Flores L. 🟨,
- 90', Jhon Vasquez 🟨,
- 90', Herrera E. ↓, Guerrero J. ↑,
- 90+10', Flores L. 🟨,
- 90+14', 2 - 1, Titi (Pen),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3nc2vxyc
Chances of winning
Junior Barranquilla
50% | Draw
28.5% | Atlético Bucaramanga
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2) |
3.27 ↑
(3.2) |
4.29 ↑
(3.88) |
6.5%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 20%). Bucaramanga (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 2.
- Junior is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bucaramanga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Junior may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Junior could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 0.9:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 1.2:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Junior Barranquilla has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Junior Barranquilla?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
01.03.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:1
18.07.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:0
25.05.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:0
11.05.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Junior Barranquilla
0:0
21.01.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:0
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
