Result
1:1
01/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Colombia | Win Sports+, Win Sports Online |
Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.28 | 0.89 |
Ball Possession |
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58% | 42% |
Goal Attempts |
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11 | 5 |
Shots on Goal |
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5 | 1 |
Shots off Goal |
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2 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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3 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
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8 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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0 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 12 |
Offsides |
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3 | 0 |
Fouls |
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12 | 8 |
Yellow Cards |
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6 | 4 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 20 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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12 | 7 |
Passes |
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77% (251/327) | 66% (162/244) |
Passes in the final third |
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69% (83/120) | 46% (41/90) |
Crosses |
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32% (6/19) | 27% (3/11) |
Tackles |
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83% (10/12) | 77% (10/13) |
Clearances Total |
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18 | 28 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 38', Fabry 🟨,
- 39', Sambueza F. 🟨,
- 39', Jhon Vasquez 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Sambueza F. ⚽,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Paiva G. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jhon Vasquez ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
- 57', Pons L. (Pen),
- 57', Pons L. 🟨,
- 62', Cantillo C. ↓, Guerrero J. ↑,
- 62', Bacca M. ↓, Bacca C. ↑,
- 62', Velez Carey J. J. ↓, Angel Bernal F. S. ↑,
- 64', Cuenu J. 🟨,
- 64', Romana C. 🟨,
- 70', Chara Y. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
- 72', Mele S. 🟨,
- 73', Gutierrez A. ↓, Cardenas S. ↑,
- 74', Flores L. ↓, Londono K. ↑,
- 76', Paiva G. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
- 77', Pons L. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
- 87', Fabry ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
- 90+1', Londono K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Bacca C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Moreno D. 🟨,
- 90+7', Henao C. 🟥,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2xh626vt
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga 49.3% | Draw 29.8% | Junior Barranquilla 20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Bucaramanga's performance.Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Bucaramanga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.9 ↓ (2.62) |
3.11 ↑ (2.75) |
4.49 ↑ (3) |
6.9% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Watch this match and Colombian Primera A with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Nuestra Tele
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Junior will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaramanga: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bucaramanga won 1.
- Bucaramanga is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Junior is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Junior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Bucaramanga will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Bucaramanga won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 10:19 (average 0.5:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bucaramanga won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:8 (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Junior Barranquilla?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Junior Barranquilla has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
18.07.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:0
25.05.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:0
11.05.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Junior Barranquilla
0:0
21.01.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:0
31.07.2023
Junior Barranquilla
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:1
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )