Result
1:0
13/12/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 16
- Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (418/480) | 82% (304/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (418/480) | 82% (304/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (27/50) | 64% (29/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (110/143) | 70% (58/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Petriccione J. 🟨,
- 26', Missori F. 🟨,
- 27', Pittarello F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 0, Cisse A. ⚽, D'Alessandro M. (A),
- 57', Kumi J. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
- 63', Tutino G. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
- 63', Missori F. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 68', Pittarello F. ↓, Rispoli F. ↑,
- 69', Cisse A. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
- 77', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
- 82', Palumbo M. ↓, Crespi V. ↑,
- 88', Pontisso S. ↓, Alesi G. ↑,
- 88', Iemmello P. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
- 90+2', Besaggio M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Rispoli F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Catanzaro
52.6% | Draw
25.8% | Avellino
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Catanzaro - Avellino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(1.89) |
3.62 ↑
(3.58) |
4.36 ↑
(3.8) |
6.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Avellino?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Avellino will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 3.
- Catanzaro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Avellino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Catanzaro is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Buglio D.
(Inactive)
Pompetti M.
(Shin Injury)
Seha S.
(Inactive)
Verrengia B.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Avellino: Armellino M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
D'Andrea L.
(Knee Injury)
De Cristofaro A.
(Knee Injury)
Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Insigne R.
(Inactive)
Milani A.
(Inactive)
Rigione M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Avellino?
Catanzaro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Catanzaro?
Avellino has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Avellino were as follows:
04.03.2023
Catanzaro
-
Avellino
4:1
16.11.2022
Catanzaro
-
Avellino
4:3
30.10.2022
Avellino
-
Catanzaro
2:2
Latest results of Catanzaro
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 54:25 | 29 | 57 |
| 2 | Monza | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 57 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:22 | 14 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Padova | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Spezia | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23:35 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
