Avellino vs Catanzaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 34
  • Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyDAZN Italia, LAB Channel
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.090.54
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
52
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
61
Passes
85% (286/337)88% (408/465)
Yellow cards
45
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.090.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.800.60
Total shots
197
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
52
Shots inside the box
122
Shots outside the box
75
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2912
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1015
Passes
85% (286/337)88% (408/465)
Long passes
61% (22/36)44% (18/41)
Passes in final third
80% (92/115)73% (59/81)
Crosses
44% (12/27)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.120.49
Throw ins
1912
Fouls
1510
Tackles
53% (10/19)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4549
Clearances
1016
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.600.80
Goals prevented
-0.40-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Petriccione J. 🟨,
  • 10', Russo R. 🟨,
  • 29', Sounas D. 🟨,
  • 31', Petriccione J. , Pompetti M. ,
  • 40', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kumi J. , Missori F. ,
  • 56', Brighenti N. 🟨,
  • 60', 0 - 1, Iemmello P. , Pontisso S. (A),
  • 63', Biasci T. , Patierno C. ,
  • 63', Palumbo M. , Favilli A. ,
  • 64', Cancellotti T. , Insigne R. ,
  • 66', Pontisso S. 🟨,
  • 72', Di Francesco F. 🟨,
  • 75', Brighenti N. 🟨,
  • 76', Favilli A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 79', Pontisso S. , Buglio D. ,
  • 79', Di Francesco F. , Frosinini R. ,
  • 79', Liberali M. , Esteves G. ,
  • 79', Sounas D. , Le Borgne A. ,
  • 86', Fellipe Jack , Verrengia B. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Iannarilli A. , Insigne R. (A),
  • 90+6', Iannarilli A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Avellino
35.4%
Draw
29.9%
Catanzaro
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 28% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 28.4% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Avellino - Catanzaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.57)
    3.12
    (3.3)
    2.69
    (2.57)
    7.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Avellino - Catanzaro?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Avellino: Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Izzo A. (Red Card) Marson L. (Inactive) Reale F. (Muscle Injury) Sgarbi L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Catanzaro: Alesi G. (Red Card) Cassandro T. (Yellow Cards) Cisse A. (Muscle Injury) Pittarello F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Avellino: Palmiero L. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Catanzaro were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Catanzaro - Avellino 1:0
    04.03.2023 Catanzaro - Avellino 4:1
    16.11.2022 Catanzaro - Avellino 4:3
    30.10.2022 Avellino - Catanzaro 2:2
    Latest results of Avellino
    05.04.2026 Palermo - Avellino 2:0
    22.03.2026 Sampdoria - Avellino 2:1
    15.03.2026 Virtus Entella - Avellino 1:2
    07.03.2026 Avellino - Padova 1:0
    Latest results of Catanzaro
    06.04.2026 Catanzaro - Monza 1:1
    21.03.2026 Cesena - Catanzaro 3:1
    14.03.2026 Padova - Catanzaro 1:3
    08.03.2026 Catanzaro - Empoli 3:2
    04.03.2026 Carrarese - Catanzaro 3:3
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia34219468:293972
    2Frosinone341912365:333269
    3Monza34209553:272669
    4Palermo341811555:282765
    5Catanzaro331412751:401154
    6Modena331491044:291551
    7Juve Stabia341115841:41048
    8Cesena341281442:50-844
    9Carrarese3410121244:45-142
    10Sudtirol348161036:37-140
    11Mantova341171639:48-940
    12Sampdoria3410101434:44-1040
    13Avellino3410101438:54-1640
    14Padova349101533:45-1237
    15Empoli348121443:49-636
    16Entella348111532:47-1535
    17Bari348101633:53-2034
    18Reggiana34891733:52-1933
    19Pescara347111647:61-1432
    20Spezia34791832:51-1930

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation