Avellino vs Palermo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
20/12/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 17
  • Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
israelIsrael5 GOLD Israel
italyItalyDAZN Italia, LAB Channel
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDCTV
usaUsaDCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.66
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
83% (333/401)82% (288/352)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.781.58
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2122
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
2215
Passes
83% (333/401)82% (288/352)
Long passes
34% (17/50)33% (11/33)
Passes in final third
75% (73/97)67% (50/75)
Crosses
16% (3/19)41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.531.41
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1522
Tackles
60% (3/5)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4045
Clearances
1824
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.581.78
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Bani M. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Biasci T. , Missori F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 56', Palmiero L. 🟨,
  • 61', Simic L. 🟨,
  • 66', Bani M. , Gyasi E. ,
  • 66', Segre J. , Gomes C. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Ranocchia F. ,
  • 73', Tutino G. , Patierno C. ,
  • 74', Palmiero L. , Palumbo M. ,
  • 75', Diakite S. 🟨,
  • 76', Palumbo M. 🟨,
  • 82', Fontanarosa A. 🟨,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Pohjanpalo J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 85', Enrici P. , Lescano F. ,
  • 85', Biasci T. , Russo R. ,
  • 85', Palumbo A. , Blin A. ,
  • 85', Ranocchia F. , Giovane S. ,
  • 87', Diakite S. 🟨,
  • 88', Besaggio M. , Panico G. ,
  • 88', Le Douaron J. , Veroli D. ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Palumbo M. , Russo R. (A),
  • 90+3', Gomes C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Avellino
20.8%
Draw
26.2%
Palermo
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22% 26.7% 51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 25.9% 52.8%

Avellino - Palermo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.5
(4.23)
3.58
(3.49)
1.78
(1.81)
6.2%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avellino - Palermo?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Palermo will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 25.5%74.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 2.
    • Avellino is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Palermo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Avellino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Palermo is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Avellino: Armellino M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) D'Andrea L. (Knee Injury) De Cristofaro A. (Knee Injury) Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Insigne R. (Inactive) Marchisano M. (Inactive) Milani A. (Inactive) Pane P. (Inactive) Rigione M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Palermo: Avella M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Avellino: Kumi J. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    Latest results of Avellino
    13.12.2025 Catanzaro - Avellino 1:0
    08.12.2025 Avellino - Venezia 1:1
    22.11.2025 Avellino - Empoli 0:3
    09.11.2025 Cesena - Avellino 3:0
    Latest results of Palermo
    12.12.2025 Palermo - Sampdoria 1:0
    07.12.2025 Empoli - Palermo 1:3
    29.11.2025 Palermo - Carrarese 5:0
    22.11.2025 Virtus Entella - Palermo 1:1
    08.11.2025 Juve Stabia - Palermo 1:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Frosinone17114233:151837
    2Monza17104325:131234
    3Venezia1795330:141632
    4Cesena1794425:18731
    5Palermo1786327:131430
    6Modena1785425:131229
    7Catanzaro1777324:19528
    8Juve Stabia1758418:20-223
    9Padova1757517:19-222
    10Avellino1756620:29-921
    11Empoli1655623:23020
    12Reggiana1755721:23-220
    13Carrarese1747624:29-519
    14Bari1737715:27-1216
    15Sudtirol1629515:19-415
    16Entella1636715:24-915
    17Sampdoria1735916:24-814
    18Spezia1735915:24-914
    19Mantova16421015:26-1114
    20Pescara1727822:33-1113

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation