Result
2:2
20/12/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 17
- Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 GOLD Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (333/401) | 82% (288/352) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (333/401) | 82% (288/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (17/50) | 33% (11/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (73/97) | 67% (50/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Bani M. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Biasci T. ⚽, Missori F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', Palmiero L. 🟨,
- 61', Simic L. 🟨,
- 66', Bani M. ↓, Gyasi E. ↑,
- 66', Segre J. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Ranocchia F. ⚽,
- 73', Tutino G. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
- 74', Palmiero L. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
- 75', Diakite S. 🟨,
- 76', Palumbo M. 🟨,
- 82', Fontanarosa A. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 2, Pohjanpalo J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Enrici P. ↓, Lescano F. ↑,
- 85', Biasci T. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 85', Palumbo A. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
- 85', Ranocchia F. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
- 87', Diakite S. 🟨,
- 88', Besaggio M. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
- 88', Le Douaron J. ↓, Veroli D. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Palumbo M. ⚽, Russo R. (A),
- 90+3', Gomes C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avellino
20.8% | Draw
26.2% | Palermo
52.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Avellino - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.5 ↑
(4.23) |
3.58 ↑
(3.49) |
1.78 ↓
(1.81) |
6.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avellino - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Palermo will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 25.5% – 74.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 2.
- Avellino is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Palermo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Avellino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palermo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Avellino: Armellino M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
D'Andrea L.
(Knee Injury)
De Cristofaro A.
(Knee Injury)
Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Insigne R.
(Inactive)
Marchisano M.
(Inactive)
Milani A.
(Inactive)
Pane P.
(Inactive)
Rigione M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Palermo: Avella M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Avellino: Kumi J.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Palermo?
Avellino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Avellino?
Palermo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Palermo were as follows:
Latest results of Avellino
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
