Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 20
- Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (448/521) | 80% (302/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (448/521) | 80% (302/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (45/74) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (81/112) | 71% (67/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Biasci T. ⚽, Tutino G. (A),
- 13', 1 - 1, Rubino T. ⚽, Abiuso F. (A),
- 23', Rubino T. 🟨,
- 33', Bouah D. ↓, Zanon S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Tutino G. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 48', Oliana F. 🟨,
- 63', Belloni N. ↓, Cicconi M. ↑,
- 63', Rubino T. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 63', Palumbo M. ↓, Sounas D. ↑,
- 64', Biasci T. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Abiuso F. ⚽,
- 72', Palmiero L. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
- 73', Sounas D. 🟨,
- 76', Cancellotti T. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
- 86', Abiuso F. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
- 86', Zuelli E. ↓, Parlanti G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Avellino
42.3% | Draw
29.9% | Carrarese
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avellino's performance.Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carrarese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avellino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carrarese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Avellino - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.74) |
3.12 ↑
(2.88) |
3.34 ↑
(2.79) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Avellino - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.9% – 73.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Avellino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Avellino: Insigne R.
(Calf Injury)
Kumi J.
(Injury)
Rigione M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F.
(Inactive)
Imperiale M.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Avellino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Carrarese?
Avellino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Avellino?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Carrarese were as follows:
21.09.2025
Carrarese
-
Avellino
3:4
Latest results of Avellino
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
