Result
3:4
21/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 4
- Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (401/453) | 81% (281/347) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (401/453) | 81% (281/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (28/44) | 33% (20/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (126/151) | 62% (47/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (11/45) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.19 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 1', Simic L. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Abiuso F. ⚽, Sekulov N. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Crespi V. ⚽, Sounas D. (A),
- 22', Enrici P. 🟨,
- 25', 2 - 1, Cicconi M. (Pen),
- 30', Enrici P. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 2, Ruggeri F. (Own goal),
- 38', Simic L. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
- 39', Insigne R. ↓, Fontanarosa A. ↑,
- 44', Biasci T. 🟨,
- 44', Bozhanaj K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Biasci T. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 46', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 3, Russo R. ⚽, Crespi V. (A),
- 57', Hasa L. ↓, Schiavi N. ↑,
- 58', Salamon B. ↓, Zanon S. ↑,
- 62', Missori F. ↓, Manzi C. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 4, Besaggio M. ⚽, Crespi V. (A),
- 69', Sekulov N. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
- 72', Crespi V. ↓, Lescano F. ↑,
- 73', Bouah D. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 78', Fontanarosa A. 🟨,
- 82', 3 - 4, Schiavi N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Carrarese
40.7% | Draw
31.5% | Avellino
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Carrarese - Avellino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.2) |
3 ↓
(3.3) |
3.39
(3.39) |
5.8%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Avellino?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 17% – 68.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Carrarese has had a series of away games.
- Carrarese will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Belloni N.
(Inactive)
Mazzini S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Schiavi N.
(Inactive)
Torregrossa E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Avellino: D'Andrea L.
(Knee Injury)
De Cristofaro A.
(Knee Injury)
Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Pane P.
(Muscle Injury)
Patierno C.
(Illness)
Rigione M.
(Muscle Injury)
Tutino G.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Carrarese: Bozhanaj K.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Avellino?
Carrarese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Carrarese?
Avellino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Avellino were as follows:
Latest results of Carrarese
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Cesena | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Monza | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Entella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Bari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Pescara | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Spezia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
