Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 00:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.801.13
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
75% (243/325)86% (538/622)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.801.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.030.93
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2913
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
115
Passes
75% (243/325)86% (538/622)
Long passes
48% (30/63)40% (19/47)
Passes in final third
65% (82/126)84% (141/167)
Crosses
32% (6/19)0% (0/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.461.07
Throw-ins
1821
Fouls
511
Tackles
50% (8/16)88% (14/16)
Duels won
4830
Clearances
2633
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
0.932.03
Goals prevented
-0.070.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Nogami Y. ⚽, Fujii H. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 0, Kimura Y. ⚽, Inagaki S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Thiago Andrade ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
  • 46', Shibayama M. ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
  • 54', Nakayama K. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
  • 68', Hatanaka S. ↓, Shindo R. ↑,
  • 68', Ohata A. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
  • 76', Kagawa S. ↓, Vitor Bueno ↑,
  • 79', Nogami Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
  • 79', Kimura Y. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Vitor Bueno ⚽,
  • 90+1', Morishima T. ↓, Kato G. ↑,
  • 90+1', Mateus ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
34.2%		Draw
27.1%		Cerezo Osaka
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 29.9% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 30.5% 38.8%

Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.77 ↓
(2.98)		 3.48 ↑
(3.19)		 2.44 ↓
(2.5)		 5.9%
(5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 16.1% – 74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Kawazura A. (Ankle Injury) Kikuchi T. (Knee Injury) Schmidt D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Noborizato K. (Knee Injury) Uejo S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nagoya: Uchida T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 1:1
    30.06.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 2:1
    21.04.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka 2:1
    26.08.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 3:1
    03.06.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka 3:1
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    27.09.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers 0:4 ✺
    23.09.2025 Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus 0:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare 3:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Nagoya Grampus 0:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    28.09.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺
    23.09.2025 Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka 3:1 ✺
    20.09.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka 2:4 ✺
    31.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1 ✺
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers ✔ 36217855:302570
    2Kashiwa Reysol361912556:332369
    3Vissel Kobe36189946:311563
    4Kyoto361711859:401962
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima361881042:261662
    6Kawasaki Frontale361512966:511557
    7Machida361691149:361357
    8Gamba Osaka361661449:53-454
    9Urawa Reds3614111140:39153
    10Cerezo Osaka3614101258:51752
    11FC Tokyo361391440:47-748
    12Avispa Fukuoka3611121333:37-445
    13Shimizu S-Pulse3611111440:48-844
    14Verdy3611101522:36-1443
    15Okayama361191632:41-942
    16Yokohama F. Marinos361171842:44-240
    17Nagoya Grampus3610101642:53-1140
    18Yokohama FC ✔ 36882024:43-1932
    19Shonan Bellmare ✔ 36782134:61-2729
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 364112134:63-2923

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Kashima Antlers is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
    Yokohama FC is Relegated to J2 League
    Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
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