Result
1:1
08/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 15
- Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (474/560) | 87% (442/509) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (474/560) | 87% (442/509) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (14/38) | 48% (19/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (49/85) | 77% (97/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
- 36', Harder J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Harder J. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
- 51', Castagnetti M. 🟨,
- 57', Buonaiuto C. ↓, Papu Gomez ↑,
- 57', Olivieri M. ↓, Blesa J. ↑,
- 57', Bastoni S. ↓, Berti T. ↑,
- 65', Barreca A. 🟨,
- 72', Frabotta G. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 1, Adamo E. ⚽, Berti T. (A),
- 77', Ghiglione P. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
- 77', Barreca A. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
- 84', Villa L. ↓, Varas K. ↑,
- 88', Fusi P. 🟨,
- 89', Francesconi M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Francesconi M. ↓, Bisoli D. ↑,
- 90+1', Shpendi C. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Crisetig L. ⚽, Papu Gomez (A),
- 90+5', Adamo E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Padova
26.7% | Draw
32.7% | Cesena
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Padova - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.54 ↑
(3.2) |
2.88 ↓
(3.02) |
2.31 ↓
(2.34) |
6.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Padova - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Cesena will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 23.8% – 76.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Cesena (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Padova won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Cesena might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Injury)
Di Maggio L.
(Injury)
Lasagna K.
(Muscle Injury)
Pastina C.
(Inactive)
Perrotta M.
(Yellow Cards)
Silva J.
(Health problems)
Varas K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cesena: Bisoli D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Padova won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Cesena?
Padova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Padova?
Cesena has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Padova - Cesena were as follows:
04.08.2024
Cesena
-
Padova
3:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
