Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
18/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV, EA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.47
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
86% (474/549)79% (319/402)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.030.68
Total shots
137
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
3312
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
118
Passes
86% (474/549)79% (319/402)
Long passes
49% (20/41)51% (34/67)
Passes in final third
81% (143/177)62% (68/110)
Crosses
14% (2/14)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.76
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
811
Tackles
76% (16/21)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5048
Clearances
1723
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.682.03
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. , Forsberg E. (A), Berggren G. (A2)
  • 15', Edelman D. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Herrera A. , Lappalainen L. (A), Arfsten M. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lappalainen L. , Gazdag D. ,
  • 59', Edwards R. , Carmona W. ,
  • 59', Gjengaar D. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 61', Russell-Rowe J. , Habroune T. ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Gazdag D. ,
  • 70', Nealis D. 🟨,
  • 74', Nealis D. , Duncan K. ,
  • 74', Valencia O. , Hall J. ,
  • 74', Choupo-Moting E. M. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 82', Chambost D. , Aliyu I. ,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Aliyu I. ,
  • 89', Moreira S. , Ruvalcaba C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Columbus Crew
61.3%
Draw
22.3%
New York Red Bulls
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 22.6% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 20.2% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Columbus Crew that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.58)
    4.3
    (4.2)
    5.8
    (5.43)
    4.3%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Columbus (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Columbus Crew will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 2.
    • Columbus has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY Red Bulls has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Columbus has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Columbus is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Columbus: Abou Ali W. (Ankle Injury) Farsi M. (Pelvis Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Knee Injury) Marcucci A. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Eile N. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    30.08.2025 New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew 0:0
    03.11.2024 New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew 3:2
    29.10.2024 Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls 0:1
    19.10.2024 New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew 2:3
    16.03.2024 Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls 3:0
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps760119:41518
    2San Jose Earthquakes760113:21118
    3Los Angeles FC751115:21316
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6Colorado Rapids740319:12712
    7FC Dallas733115:10512
    8San Diego FC732214:10411
    9Minnesota United73228:13-511
    10Los Angeles Galaxy722310:11-18
    11Portland Timbers721411:16-57
    12Houston Dynamo620410:16-66
    13Austin FC71338:11-36
    14St. Louis City71336:9-36
    15Sporting Kansas City71157:17-104


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC751115:41116
    2Chicago Fire74129:5413
    3Inter Miami733113:12112
    4New York City732214:9511
    5Charlotte732213:9411
    6Toronto FC732210:11-111
    7New York Red Bulls732211:15-411
    8New England Revolution630312:939
    9DC United72144:9-57
    10FC Cincinnati721410:16-67
    11Columbus Crew71339:10-16
    12Atlanta Utd71156:12-64
    13Orlando City71156:24-184
    14Philadelphia Union71066:12-63
    15CF Montreal71068:19-113

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)