Result
10/04/2026 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pasto
53% | Draw
27.4% | Deportes Tolima
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Pasto's performance.Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Tolima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Pasto that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Tolima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(2.24) |
3.41 ↑
(3.05) |
4.78 ↑
(3.37) |
6.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2.
- Deportivo Pasto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportes Tolima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Deportes Tolima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Deportes Tolima has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Deportivo Pasto is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo Pasto has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Deportivo Pasto?
Deportes Tolima has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
12.07.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Deportes Tolima
3:2
27.01.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:0
02.10.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
17.09.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:2
23.07.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
