Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima
Result
3:2
12/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.82
Ball Possession
23%77%
Total shots
815
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
03
Passes
69% (107/154)89% (471/528)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.82
xG on target (xGOT)
3.251.07
Total shots
815
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
03
Touches in opposition box
620
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
910
Passes
69% (107/154)89% (471/528)
Long passes
33% (14/43)41% (14/34)
Passes in final third
46% (31/67)79% (105/133)
Crosses
17% (1/6)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.180.85
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
109
Tackles
50% (5/10)75% (9/12)
Duels won
2932
Clearances
2411
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.073.25
Goals prevented
-0.930.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', Caicedo J. , Sanchez B. ,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Valois Y. , Espinal F. (A),
  • 29', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
  • 32', Rovira B. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Rivas J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Quinones J. , Perez K. ,
  • 59', Valois Y. , Camacho D. ,
  • 59', Bernal J. , Castano M. ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Hurtado Torres Y. D. , Parra Osorio A. (A),
  • 69', Alarcon A. 🟨,
  • 72', Bone F. , Rendon K. ,
  • 72', Rivas J. , Preciado P. ,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Parra Osorio A. ,
  • 77', Valencia E. , Torres Patino J. P. ,
  • 77', Hurtado Torres Y. D. , Arrieta C. ,
  • 80', Sanchez B. 🟨,
  • 83', Espinal F. 🟨,
  • 85', Parra Osorio A. , Fuentes J. ,
  • 85', Gonzalez J. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 90+1', Castano M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Preciado P. , Rendon K. (A),

Chances of winning


Deportivo Pasto
38.3%
Draw
33%
Deportes Tolima
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 33.8% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 32.7% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.34)
    2.83
    (2.75)
    3.27
    (3.5)
    7.2%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Deportivo Pasto is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
    27.01.2025 Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pasto 2:0
    02.10.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima 1:1
    17.09.2024 Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pasto 1:2
    23.07.2024 Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pasto 2:1
    26.01.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima 1:4
    Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional32017:436
    2Junior22005:236
    3Fortaleza22003:126
    4Santa Fe31203:215
    5Chico21103:124
    6Pereira31114:404
    7Alianza31112:204
    8Dep. Pasto11003:213
    9Deportes Tolima31023:4-13
    10Llaneros20200:002
    11Aguilas30212:3-12
    12Bucaramanga10101:101
    13America De Cali10100:001
    14U. Magdalena10100:001
    15Envigado20110:1-11
    16Ind. Medellin20111:3-21
    17La Equidad20111:3-21
    18Dep. Cali20110:2-21
    19Millonarios00000:000
    20Once Caldas20022:5-30

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