Padova vs Empoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Padova
30.3%
Draw
29.2%
Empoli
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 28.8% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 26.8% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Padova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Empoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Padova - Empoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (2.71)
    3.19
    (3.2)
    2.33
    (2.49)
    6.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Padova won 1.
    • Padova has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Empoli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Empoli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Padova won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Padova - Empoli were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Empoli - Padova 3:1
    Latest results of Padova
    05.04.2026 Frosinone - Padova 2:0
    21.03.2026 Padova - Palermo 0:1
    17.03.2026 Venezia - Padova 3:1
    14.03.2026 Padova - Catanzaro 1:3
    07.03.2026 Avellino - Padova 1:0
    Latest results of Empoli
    06.04.2026 Sampdoria - Empoli 1:0
    22.03.2026 Empoli - Pescara 4:2
    17.03.2026 Spezia - Empoli 1:1
    14.03.2026 Empoli - Mantova 2:2
    08.03.2026 Catanzaro - Empoli 3:2
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia33218467:283971
    2Frosinone331911364:323268
    3Monza33199551:272466
    4Palermo331810554:272764
    5Catanzaro321411750:391153
    6Modena321481043:281550
    7Juve Stabia331015839:41-245
    8Cesena331281342:48-644
    9Carrarese3310121144:43142
    10Sudtirol338151035:36-139
    11Avellino331091437:53-1639
    12Mantova331071637:48-1137
    13Sampdoria339101432:43-1137
    14Empoli338121343:48-536
    15Padova338101532:45-1334
    16Entella338101531:46-1534
    17Bari338101533:51-1834
    18Pescara337111546:59-1332
    19Spezia33791732:49-1730
    20Reggiana33791731:52-2130

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation