Result
3:1
23/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 1
- Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (294/380) | 74% (267/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (294/380) | 74% (267/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (23/57) | 23% (12/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (64/102) | 60% (58/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Shpendi S. ⚽, Curto M. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Bortolussi M. ⚽, Varas K. (A),
- 28', Shpendi S. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
- 41', 2 - 1, Popov B. ⚽,
- 45+3', Yepes G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Capelli A. 🟨,
- 54', Baselli D. 🟨,
- 57', Barreca A. 🟨,
- 65', Di Maggio L. ↓, Ghiglione P. ↑,
- 65', Belli F. ↓, Perrotta M. ↑,
- 66', 3 - 1, Popov B. ⚽, Elia S. (A),
- 74', Capelli A. ↓, Harder J. ↑,
- 74', Baselli D. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
- 74', Ghiglione P. 🟨,
- 79', Ilie R. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
- 81', Fusi P. ↓, Lasagna K. ↑,
- 88', Elia S. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
- 88', Carboni F. ↓, Moruzzi B. ↑,
- 88', Yepes G. ↓, Kaczmarski I. ↑,
- 90+3', Belardinelli L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Empoli
47.9% | Draw
28.4% | Padova
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Empoli - Padova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.79) |
3.28 ↓
(3.45) |
3.95 ↑
(3.56) |
7.2%
(12.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Empoli - Padova?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Empoli (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
Empoli will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, Empoli is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Empoli: Haas N.
(Knee Injury)
Pellegri P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Padova: Papu Gomez
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Padova: Silva J.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Padova?
Empoli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Empoli?
Padova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Padova were as follows:
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Palermo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Cesena | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Frosinone | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Monza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Avellino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Catanzaro | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Reggiana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Venezia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Entella | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 | Pescara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Padova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Empoli | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Mantova | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Spezia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Bari | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
