Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/12/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka).

J1 League - Round 38
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.36	1.91
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
17	23
Shots on target
6	10
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
83% (450/545)	74% (246/333)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36	1.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.85	2.29
Total shots
17	23
Shots on target
6	10
Shots off target
6	8
Blocked Shots
5	5
Shots inside the Box
11	17
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
32	35
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
18	9
Passes
83% (450/545)	74% (246/333)
Long passes
46% (19/41)	42% (26/62)
Passes in final third
78% (131/169)	65% (77/119)
Crosses
50% (7/14)	37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.29	1.49
Throw-ins
21	19
Fouls
9	18
Tackles
61% (11/18)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
61	45
Clearances
22	19
Interceptions
6	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
8	5
xGOT faced
2.29	1.85
Goals prevented
0.29	0.85

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Kamiya Yuta 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Stephens A. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
61', Miyamoto E. ↓, Tabei R. ↑,
61', Motoyama H. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Lucao ⚽, Tatsuta Y. (A),
64', Lucao 🟨,
66', Takagi S. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
66', Yajima S. ↓, Miyamoto K. ↑,
66', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
74', Lucao ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
74', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Esaka A. ⚽, Kimura T. (A),
80', Hasukawa S. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
88', Kimura T. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Takahashi T. ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shimizu S-Pulse
40.3%

Draw
28.1%

Fagiano Okayama
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27.8%

30.6%

Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.27)	3.36 ↓ (3.39)	3 ↓ (3.08)	6% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Shimizu S-Pulse will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 3.
Shimizu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Fagiano Okayama?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Fagiano Okayama has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:

02.03.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:1

30.06.2024 Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama 3:1

28.04.2024 Fagiano Okayama - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1

29.07.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama 1:0

25.02.2023 Fagiano Okayama - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

30.11.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0 ✺

09.11.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Cerezo Osaka 1:4 ✺

25.10.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Verdy 1:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse 5:3 ✺

04.10.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Fagiano Okayama

30.11.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Fagiano Okayama 1:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Tokyo - Fagiano Okayama 3:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka 1:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama 1:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

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      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League