Result
1:2
06/12/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 38
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (450/545) | 74% (246/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (450/545) | 74% (246/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (19/41) | 42% (26/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (131/169) | 65% (77/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Kamiya Yuta 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', Stephens A. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
- 61', Miyamoto E. ↓, Tabei R. ↑,
- 61', Motoyama H. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Lucao ⚽, Tatsuta Y. (A),
- 64', Lucao 🟨,
- 66', Takagi S. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
- 66', Yajima S. ↓, Miyamoto K. ↑,
- 66', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
- 74', Lucao ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
- 74', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 2, Esaka A. ⚽, Kimura T. (A),
- 80', Hasukawa S. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
- 88', Kimura T. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Takahashi T. ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),
Chances of winning
Shimizu S-Pulse
40.3% | Draw
28.1% | Fagiano Okayama
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.27) |
3.36 ↓
(3.39) |
3 ↓
(3.08) |
6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Shimizu S-Pulse will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 3.
- Shimizu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Fagiano Okayama?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Fagiano Okayama has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
02.03.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
1:1
30.06.2024
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Fagiano Okayama
3:1
28.04.2024
Fagiano Okayama
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
0:1
29.07.2023
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Fagiano Okayama
1:0
25.02.2023
Fagiano Okayama
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
0:0
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Machida | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Verdy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mito | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 10 | Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 5 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Okayama | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
