Result
0:1
18/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 18
- Referee: Torres M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (318/382) | 80% (304/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (318/382) | 80% (304/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (22/50) | 45% (21/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (57/91) | 69% (81/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rafa Soares ↓, Pedro Bondo ↑,
- 67', Paulo Victor ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
- 67', Serginho ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
- 67', Elisor S. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,
- 67', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Brenner ↑,
- 74', Silva H. ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
- 75', 0 - 1, Sorriso ⚽, Pinheiro R. (A),
- 78', Adriano Firmino ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
- 84', Pedro Bondo ↓, Garcia ↑,
- 88', Sorriso ↓, Santos P. ↑,
- 88', De Amorim M. ↓, Realpe L. ↑,
- 90+3', Welinton Torrao 🟨,
- 90+6', Gil Dias 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santa Clara
29.8% | Draw
31.7% | Famalicão
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-2%)
Santa Clara - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↑
(2.91) |
2.95 ↑
(2.84) |
2.47 ↓
(2.61) |
6%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santa Clara - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Famalicão will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 3.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Santa Clara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Lima S.
(Yellow Cards)
Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
Pastor G.
(Injury)
Rochinha
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Santa Clara: MT
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Famalicão?
Santa Clara has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Santa Clara?
Famalicão has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Famalicão were as follows:
10.08.2025
Famalicão
-
Santa Clara
3:0
10.05.2025
Santa Clara
-
Famalicão
2:1
30.12.2024
Famalicão
-
Santa Clara
1:2
24.11.2024
Famalicão
-
Santa Clara
0:1
19.02.2023
Santa Clara
-
Famalicão
1:3
Latest results of Santa Clara
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
