Tranmere Rovers vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Prenton Park (Birkenhead).

League Two - Round 46
Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.88	1.36
Ball possession
40%	60%
Total shots
9	13
Shots on target
2	3
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
4	4
Passes
55% (151/274)	70% (287/409)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.88	1.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.98	1.39
Total shots
9	13
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked shots
2	5
Shots inside the box
6	8
Shots outside the box
3	6
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
15	24
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
10	10
Passes
55% (151/274)	70% (287/409)
Long passes
42% (39/93)	40% (36/90)
Passes in final third
36% (34/94)	63% (105/166)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.66	1.63
Throw ins
29	31
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
40% (6/15)	50% (9/18)
Duels won
71	65
Clearances
38	35
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	3
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.39	0.98
Goals prevented
0.39	-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Amaluzor J. ⚽, Green K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Woolery K. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
53', Kenneh N. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Smith N. ⚽, Whitaker C. (A),
65', Cook A. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
65', Green K. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
77', Turi G. D. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
84', Sweeney J. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
84', Amaluzor J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
90+2', Walker J. 🟨,
90+5', Finley S. ↓, Plant J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tranmere Rovers
28.8%

Draw
25.9%

Grimsby Town
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

26.8%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

26.2%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Tranmere Rovers - Grimsby Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	3.63 ↑ (3.52)	2.06 ↓ (2.08)	6.6% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Grimsby Town?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Grimsby will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 25.1% – 83.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 2.
Tranmere has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Grimsby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Grimsby could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C. (Knee Injury) Jones D. (Inactive) McGee L. (Hip Injury) Murphy J. (Inactive) O'Connor L. (Inactive)
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Khouri E. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Injury) Svanthorsson J. (Inactive) Tharme D. (Injury)
There are questionable in Tranmere: Turnbull J. (Inactive) Williams J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: McEachran G. (Inactive) Sellars-Fleming T. (Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Grimsby Town?

Tranmere Rovers has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Tranmere Rovers?

Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Grimsby Town were as follows:

27.11.2025 Grimsby Town - Tranmere Rovers 1:2

04.03.2025 Grimsby Town - Tranmere Rovers 1:1

22.10.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Grimsby Town 0:1

27.01.2024 Grimsby Town - Tranmere Rovers 1:2

07.10.2023 Tranmere Rovers - Grimsby Town 2:2

Latest results of Tranmere Rovers

25.04.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Tranmere Rovers 3:0 ✺

21.04.2026 Cheltenham Town - Tranmere Rovers 1:3 ✺

18.04.2026 Tranmere Rovers - Bristol Rovers 1:2 ✺

11.04.2026 Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers 1:1 ✺

06.04.2026 Tranmere Rovers - Colchester United 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Grimsby Town

25.04.2026 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 4:0 ✺

21.04.2026 Cambridge United - Grimsby Town 1:2 ✺

18.04.2026 Gillingham - Grimsby Town 1:4 ✺

14.04.2026 Chesterfield - Grimsby Town 2:1 ✺

11.04.2026 Grimsby Town - Crewe Alexandra 3:2 ✺

English League Two Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley ✔	46	24	15	7	71:46	25	87
2	MK Dons ✔	46	24	14	8	86:45	41	86
3	Cambridge Utd	46	22	16	8	66:33	33	82
4	Salford	46	25	6	15	61:51	10	81
5	Notts Co	46	24	8	14	74:52	22	80
6	Chesterfield	46	21	16	9	71:56	15	79
7	Grimsby	46	22	12	12	74:50	24	78
8	Barnet	46	21	13	12	70:53	17	76
9	Swindon	46	22	9	15	70:59	11	75
10	Oldham	46	18	14	14	60:44	16	68
11	Crewe	46	19	10	17	64:58	6	67
12	Colchester	46	18	12	16	62:49	13	66
13	Walsall	46	18	11	17	56:56	0	65
14	Bristol Rovers	46	19	5	22	56:65	-9	62
15	Fleetwood	46	15	16	15	57:58	-1	61
16	Accrington	46	14	11	21	47:58	-11	53
17	Gillingham	46	13	14	19	53:72	-19	53
18	Cheltenham	46	14	10	22	53:79	-26	52
19	Shrewsbury	46	13	10	23	42:69	-27	49
20	Newport	46	12	7	27	48:77	-29	43
21	Tranmere	46	10	11	25	54:79	-25	41
22	Crawley	46	8	16	22	44:68	-24	40
23	Harrogate	46	10	9	27	39:68	-29	39
24	Barrow	46	9	9	28	45:78	-33	36

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One