Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga
Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.05
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
63% (145/231)71% (242/341)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.091.14
Total shots
128
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
00
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2119
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1710
Passes
63% (145/231)71% (242/341)
Long passes
39% (27/69)34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
52% (49/95)65% (82/127)
Crosses
38% (8/21)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.72
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
1119
Tackles
78% (7/9)80% (8/10)
Duels won
6535
Clearances
3626
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.141.09
Goals prevented
-0.860.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Yamagishi Y. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Hirato T. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Morishima T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 53', Takeda S. , Leo Gomes ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Junker K. ,
  • 66', Hirato T. , Nakano R. ,
  • 66', Sugai H. , Sato K. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Rafael Elias ,
  • 73', Morishima T. , Shiihashi K. ,
  • 73', Yamagishi Y. , Nagai K. ,
  • 74', Junker K. , Kimura Y. ,
  • 75', Fukuoka S. 🟨,
  • 81', Mori S. , Nogami Y. ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Fukuda S. ,
  • 83', Nakayama K. , Yamanaka R. ,
  • 90+4', Rafael Elias , Nagasawa S. ,
  • 90+4', Fukuoka S. , Matsuda T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
36.7%
Draw
29.4%
Kyoto Sanga
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 29.4% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 31% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.47)
    3.2
    (3.21)
    2.78
    (2.93)
    6.4%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Kyoto will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 1.
    • Recent performances by Nagoya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kyoto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Yonemoto T. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 1:1
    07.08.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 3:2
    26.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:1
    16.07.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 2:1
    25.02.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto27156647:301751
    2Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    3Machida28155842:261650
    4Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    5Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo27861329:41-1230
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

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