Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.43 | 1.05 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
63% (145/231) | 71% (242/341) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.43 | 1.05 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.09 | 1.14 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
0 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
63% (145/231) | 71% (242/341) |
Long passes |
---|
39% (27/69) | 34% (20/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
52% (49/95) | 65% (82/127) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (8/21) | 24% (4/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.22 | 0.72 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
78% (7/9) | 80% (8/10) |
Duels won |
---|
65 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
36 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.14 | 1.09 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.86 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Yamagishi Y. 🟨,
- 45+2', Hirato T. 🟨,
- 45+4', Morishima T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', Takeda S. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Junker K. ⚽,
- 66', Hirato T. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
- 66', Sugai H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Rafael Elias ⚽,
- 73', Morishima T. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
- 73', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 74', Junker K. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
- 75', Fukuoka S. 🟨,
- 81', Mori S. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Fukuda S. ⚽,
- 83', Nakayama K. ↓, Yamanaka R. ↑,
- 90+4', Rafael Elias ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
- 90+4', Fukuoka S. ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus 36.7% | Draw 29.4% | Kyoto Sanga 34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.56 ↑ (2.47) |
3.2 ↓ (3.21) |
2.78 ↓ (2.93) |
6.4% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Kyoto will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 1.
- Recent performances by Nagoya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kyoto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kyoto Sanga?
Nagoya Grampus has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Nagoya Grampus?
Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
11.05.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:1
07.08.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Nagoya Grampus
3:2
26.05.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:1
16.07.2023
Kyoto Sanga
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:1
25.02.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kyoto | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 47:30 | 17 | 51 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
3 | Machida | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
5 | Vissel Kobe | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 33:19 | 14 | 49 |
7 | Urawa Reds | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 42 |
9 | Okayama | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 26:23 | 3 | 39 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 37 |
12 | Gamba Osaka | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Verdy | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 31 |
15 | FC Tokyo | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29:41 | -12 | 30 |
16 | Nagoya Grampus | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33:41 | -8 | 28 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Shonan Bellmare | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22:42 | -20 | 25 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League