Result
1:4
13/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Juliadoza G. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (220/325) | 81% (401/494) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (220/325) | 81% (401/494) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (33/72) | 49% (29/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (77/133) | 75% (120/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.49 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', Campuzano A. 🟨,
- 3', Gonzalez W. 🟨,
- 9', Quintana S. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Perez M. ⚽, Gonzalez W. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Fernandez H. ⚽, Campuzano A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Campuzano A. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
- 46', Sanabria L. 🟨,
- 58', Benitez F. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
- 61', Comas L. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
- 62', Fernandez H. ↓, Villalba P. ↑,
- 62', Bogarin J. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Aguilar G. ⚽, Franco I. (A),
- 66', Gonzalez W. ↓, Santander F. ↑,
- 66', Baez J. ↓, Pereira K. ↑,
- 80', Aguilar G. ↓, Cardozo O. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 3, Cardozo O. ⚽, Recalde J. (A),
- 85', Franco I. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 4, Villalba P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño
22% | Draw
27.7% | Libertad Asuncion
50.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.21 ↑
(3.91) |
3.34 ↑
(3.33) |
1.84 ↓
(1.92) |
8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Sportivo Luqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Libertad is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 11:35. (average 0.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Libertad Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Libertad Asuncion has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
05.07.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
0:1
11.05.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:0
28.02.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
3:0
13.11.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:0
09.11.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
0:0
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Cerro Porteno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Guarani | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 2 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
