Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño
Result
0:1
05/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.50
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
83% (466/564)59% (126/212)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.640.18
Total shots
169
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
83% (466/564)59% (126/212)
Long passes
60% (41/68)39% (26/67)
Passes in final third
68% (104/154)45% (33/74)
Crosses
40% (12/30)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.35
Throw-ins
2116
Fouls
1016
Tackles
67% (8/12)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5744
Clearances
1745
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.181.64
Goals prevented
-0.821.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Gonzalez W. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bogarin J. , Fernandez H. ,
  • 61', Gimenez N. 🟨,
  • 68', Pereira K. , Comas L. ,
  • 68', Santa C. R. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 68', Cardozo Lucena A. , Martinez H. ,
  • 77', Baez J. , Rodriguez W. ,
  • 77', Quintana S. , Benitez F. ,
  • 80', Alborno R. 🟨,
  • 80', Espinoza M. (Pen),
  • 81', Caballero H. 🟨,
  • 83', Martinez H. 🟨,
  • 84', Caballero H. , Campuzano A. ,
  • 89', Gonzalez W. , Santander F. ,
  • 90', Perez M. , Ocampos S. ,
  • 90', Aguilar G. , Villalba P. ,
  • 90+4', Aguilar A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Libertad Asuncion
64.7%
Draw
22.1%
Sportivo Luqueño
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.1% 21.9% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67% 21.3% 12.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.43)
    4.17
    (4.25)
    7.08
    (7.21)
    8.3%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Libertad (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
    • Libertad is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sportivo Luqueño's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Libertad is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 12 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:10. (average 1.8:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:2. (average 1.7:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion 1:0
    28.02.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 3:0
    13.11.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 2:0
    09.11.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 0:0
    28.08.2024 Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion 1:1
    Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
    Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Trinidense32108:537
    2Cerro Porteno32104:137
    3Sp. Luqueno32103:037
    4Nacional Asuncion32103:127
    5Recoleta32018:716
    6Olimpia Asuncion31117:614
    7Guarani31113:214
    82 de Mayo31112:3-14
    9Ameliano31022:4-23
    10Libertad Asuncion30120:2-21
    11Atl. Tembetary30033:7-40
    12General Caballero JLM30031:6-50

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