Result
1:4
13/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Juliadoza G. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.98 | 1.26 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
68% (220/325) | 81% (401/494) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.98 | 1.26 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.85 | 1.51 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
68% (220/325) | 81% (401/494) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (33/72) | 49% (29/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (77/133) | 75% (120/160) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (8/28) | 21% (4/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.20 | 1.37 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (5/8) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
28 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.51 | 0.85 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-2.49 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', Campuzano A. 🟨,
- 3', Gonzalez W. 🟨,
- 9', Quintana S. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Perez M. ⚽, Gonzalez W. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Fernandez H. ⚽, Campuzano A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Campuzano A. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
- 46', Sanabria L. 🟨,
- 58', Benitez F. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
- 61', Comas L. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
- 62', Fernandez H. ↓, Villalba P. ↑,
- 62', Bogarin J. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Aguilar G. ⚽, Franco I. (A),
- 66', Gonzalez W. ↓, Santander F. ↑,
- 66', Baez J. ↓, Pereira K. ↑,
- 80', Aguilar G. ↓, Cardozo O. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 3, Cardozo O. ⚽, Recalde J. (A),
- 85', Franco I. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 4, Villalba P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño 22% | Draw 27.7% | Libertad Asuncion 50.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.21 ↑ (3.91) |
3.34 ↑ (3.33) |
1.84 ↓ (1.92) |
8% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Sportivo Luqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Libertad is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 11:35. (average 0.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Libertad Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Libertad Asuncion has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
05.07.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
0:1
11.05.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:0
28.02.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
3:0
13.11.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:0
09.11.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
0:0
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Guarani | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 29 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 22 |
4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
5 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 19 |
6 | Recoleta | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
7 | General Caballero JLM | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 18 |
8 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 17 |
10 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 13 |
11 | Ameliano | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13:23 | -10 | 11 |
12 | Atl. Tembetary | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )