Result
0:1
05/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (466/564) | 59% (126/212) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (466/564) | 59% (126/212) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (41/68) | 39% (26/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (104/154) | 45% (33/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (12/30) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | 1.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Gonzalez W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bogarin J. ↓, Fernandez H. ↑,
- 61', Gimenez N. 🟨,
- 68', Pereira K. ↓, Comas L. ↑,
- 68', Santa C. R. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 68', Cardozo Lucena A. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
- 77', Baez J. ↓, Rodriguez W. ↑,
- 77', Quintana S. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 80', Alborno R. 🟨,
- 80', Espinoza M. (Pen),
- 81', Caballero H. 🟨,
- 83', Martinez H. 🟨,
- 84', Caballero H. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
- 89', Gonzalez W. ↓, Santander F. ↑,
- 90', Perez M. ↓, Ocampos S. ↑,
- 90', Aguilar G. ↓, Villalba P. ↑,
- 90+4', Aguilar A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
64.7% | Draw
22.1% | Sportivo Luqueño
13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.43) |
4.17 ↓
(4.25) |
7.08 ↓
(7.21) |
8.3%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Libertad (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
- Libertad is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sportivo Luqueño's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Libertad is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 12 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:10. (average 1.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:2. (average 1.7:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Libertad Asuncion has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Libertad Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
11.05.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:0
28.02.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
3:0
13.11.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:0
09.11.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
0:0
28.08.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:1
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26:9 | 17 | 22 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 4 | Sp. Luqueno | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Olimpia Asuncion | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | General Caballero JLM | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
