Result
1:0
07/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (305/388) | 67% (171/256) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (305/388) | 67% (171/256) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/59) | 49% (33/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (79/119) | 58% (58/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Diaz E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ramirez I. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
- 46', Diaz E. ↓, Caballero H. ↑,
- 58', Campuzano A. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Molinas A. ⚽,
- 62', Pereira K. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
- 67', Bogado G. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
- 68', Quintana S. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
- 71', Aguilar G. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
- 78', Gimenez N. 🟨,
- 80', Ruiz O. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
- 85', Melgarejo L. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
- 88', Gonzalez W. 🟨,
- 90+5', Espinoza Acosta M. D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
47.4% | Draw
27.7% | Sportivo Luqueño
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-5%)
Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.73) |
3.37 ↑
(3.35) |
3.68 ↓
(4.58) |
7.8%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño?
Users Predictions:
Libertad Asuncion will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3.
- Libertad is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sportivo Luqueño's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Libertad is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:11. (average 1.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:3. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Libertad Asuncion has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Libertad Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
13.09.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:4
05.07.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
0:1
11.05.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:0
28.02.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
3:0
13.11.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:0
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 27 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarani | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Ameliano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Sportivo Trinidense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
