Result
1:0
03/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Lancho J. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Reniero N. ⚽,
- 40', Pipe 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lopez I. ↓, Gaya J. ↑,
- 50', Pastrana V. 🟨,
- 53', Reniero N. 🟨,
- 61', Reniero N. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
- 61', Gonzalez J. ↓, Samanes S. ↑,
- 61', Pastrana V. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
- 65', Pereira R. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
- 68', Alba T. ↓, Teofilovic O. ↑,
- 74', Dibrani B. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 74', Solar M. ↓, Capitas M. ↑,
- 80', Beneit R. 🟨,
- 82', Lancho J. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
- 82', Beneit R. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lugo
43.7% | Draw
30.6% | Mérida AD
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lugo - Mérida AD Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.97) |
2.97 ↓
(3.26) |
3.58 ↓
(3.81) |
8.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lugo - Mérida AD?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Lugo (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lugo will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lugo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lugo (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Mérida AD may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lugo might have a minor edge in this game.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Mérida AD?
Lugo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Lugo?
Mérida AD has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Mérida AD were as follows:
Latest results of Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 44:12 | 32 | 54 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 42 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 31:18 | 13 | 39 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 36 |
| 5 | AD Merida | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Zamora | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Racing Club Ferrol | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 34 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 9 | Barakaldo | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 33 |
| 10 | Lugo | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 33 |
| 11 | Ponferradina | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:22 | 3 | 30 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 34:38 | -4 | 30 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 28:33 | -5 | 30 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 25 |
| 16 | Arenteiro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22:28 | -6 | 24 |
| 17 | Cacereno | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 21:30 | -9 | 24 |
| 18 | CF Talavera | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
| 19 | Guadalajara | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 17:29 | -12 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
