Result
1:0
03/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Lancho J. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Reniero N. ⚽,
- 40', Pipe 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lopez I. ↓, Gaya J. ↑,
- 50', Pastrana V. 🟨,
- 53', Reniero N. 🟨,
- 61', Reniero N. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
- 61', Gonzalez J. ↓, Samanes S. ↑,
- 61', Pastrana V. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
- 65', Pereira R. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
- 68', Alba T. ↓, Teofilovic O. ↑,
- 74', Dibrani B. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 74', Solar M. ↓, Capitas M. ↑,
- 80', Beneit R. 🟨,
- 82', Lancho J. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
- 82', Beneit R. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lugo
43.7% | Draw
30.6% | Mérida AD
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Lugo - Mérida AD Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.97) |
2.97 ↓
(3.26) |
3.58 ↓
(3.81) |
8.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lugo - Mérida AD?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Lugo (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lugo will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lugo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lugo (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Mérida AD may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lugo might have a minor edge in this game.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Mérida AD?
Lugo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Lugo?
Mérida AD has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Mérida AD were as follows:
Latest results of Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 50:17 | 33 | 63 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 44 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Zamora | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Lugo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 28:28 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Racing Club Ferrol | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38:39 | -1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 41:49 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 30:39 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 27:38 | -11 | 30 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 26 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
