Result
1:2
26/12/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 18
- Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (320/404) | 81% (306/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (320/404) | 81% (306/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (23/64) | 40% (20/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (85/129) | 67% (71/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Adorni D. 🟨,
- 18', Balde K. 🟨,
- 39', Izzo A. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Gliozzi E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 44', Zampano F. 🟨,
- 44', Pessina M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, Azzi P. ⚽, Mota D. (A),
- 64', Zampano F. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Ravanelli L. ⚽, Balde K. (A),
- 74', Sersanti A. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 74', Massolin Y. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 79', Birindelli S. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
- 80', Santoro S. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,
- 80', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Di Mariano F. ↑,
- 87', Ciurria P. 🟨,
- 89', Ciurria P. ↓, Lucchesi L. ↑,
- 90', Mota D. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
- 90+1', Tonoli D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Balde K. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,
- 90+4', Colombo L. ↓, Delli Carri F. ↑,
- 90+4', Sottil A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Modena
37% | Draw
32% | Monza
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Modena - Monza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.4) |
2.91 ↓
(2.97) |
3.02 ↓
(3.06) |
7.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Modena - Monza?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Monza will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Monza (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Monza (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Monza (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- Modena is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Monza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Modena could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Modena: Defrel G.
(Inactive)
Ponsi F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Caprari G.
(Inactive)
Colpani A.
(Inactive)
Forson O.
(Knee Injury)
Zeroli K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Modena: Dellavalle A.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Modena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
- Including home match between the teams, Modena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Monza?
Modena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Modena?
Monza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Monza were as follows:
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 54:25 | 29 | 57 |
| 2 | Monza | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 57 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:22 | 14 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Padova | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Spezia | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23:35 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
