Result
0:0
06/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | QQ Sports |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.64 | 0.43 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
76% (360/474) | 68% (203/299) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.64 | 0.43 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.27 | 0.02 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
8 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
76% (360/474) | 68% (203/299) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (34/79) | 22% (15/67) |
Passes in final third |
---|
52% (60/116) | 60% (72/121) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (5/19) | 17% (5/29) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.52 | 0.47 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (7/10) | 50% (4/8) |
Duels won |
---|
59 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.02 | 0.27 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.02 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Iwabuchi H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
- 46', Tokumoto S. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
- 46', Nagai K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
- 61', Tabei R. ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
- 66', Mateus ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 66', Izumi R. ↓, Morishima T. ↑,
- 72', Esaka A. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
- 72', Lucao ↓, Browne N. ↑,
- 82', Sato R. 🟨,
- 83', Kato H. ↓, Gleyson ↑,
- 85', Uchida T. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus 38.8% | Draw 31.1% | Fagiano Okayama 30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.41 ↑ (2.39) |
3.02 ↑ (3.02) |
3.13 ↓ (3.21) |
6.5% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 12).
- Nagoya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Okayama is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nagoya might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Fagiano Okayama?
Nagoya Grampus has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Nagoya Grampus?
Fagiano Okayama has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League