Result
0:0
06/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (360/474) | 68% (203/299) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (360/474) | 68% (203/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (34/79) | 22% (15/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (60/116) | 60% (72/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 17% (5/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Iwabuchi H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
- 46', Tokumoto S. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
- 46', Nagai K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
- 61', Tabei R. ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
- 66', Mateus ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 66', Izumi R. ↓, Morishima T. ↑,
- 72', Esaka A. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
- 72', Lucao ↓, Browne N. ↑,
- 82', Sato R. 🟨,
- 83', Kato H. ↓, Gleyson ↑,
- 85', Uchida T. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus
38.8% | Draw
31.1% | Fagiano Okayama
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.39) |
3.02 ↑
(3.02) |
3.13 ↓
(3.21) |
6.5%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 12).
- Nagoya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Okayama is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nagoya might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Fagiano Okayama?
Nagoya Grampus has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Nagoya Grampus?
Fagiano Okayama has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 48 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 38:25 | 13 | 48 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 35:23 | 12 | 47 |
| 4 | Machida | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 39:25 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 30:18 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 44 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41:32 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Gamba Osaka | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 34 |
| 12 | Okayama | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 14 | Verdy | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 16:25 | -9 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22:41 | -19 | 25 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 16:32 | -16 | 22 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:45 | -19 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
