Result
29/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Spezia
51.1% | Draw
27.6% | Padova
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Spezia - Padova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.82) |
3.36 ↑
(3.32) |
4.32 ↑
(4.26) |
7.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 1.
- Recent form of Spezia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Padova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Padova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Spezia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Padova?
Spezia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Spezia?
Padova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Padova were as follows:
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Monza | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Cesena | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Palermo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Venezia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Reggiana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Padova | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Bari | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Pescara | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Spezia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Mantova | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
