Result
03/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Padova 33.1% | Draw 30% | Spezia 36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Padova have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Padova - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.81 ↑ (2.79) |
3.1 ↑ (3.08) |
2.52 ↑ (2.51) |
7.5% (8.2%) | |
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Padova won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Padova won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Spezia?
Padova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Padova?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Padova - Spezia were as follows:
29.10.2025
Spezia
-
Padova
1:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation