Carlisle United vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Brunton Park (Carlisle).

League Two - Round 43
Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.04	2.94
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
71% (251/356)	61% (177/292)
Yellow Cards
6	1
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04	2.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.75	3.12
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
6	5
Shots inside the Box
10	10
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
26	33
Offsides
0	6
Free Kicks
10	14
Passes
71% (251/356)	61% (177/292)
Long passes
31% (25/80)	34% (27/79)
Passes in final third
64% (99/154)	47% (48/103)
Crosses
24% (6/25)	24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.06	0.96
Fouls
14	10
Tackles
64% (9/14)	44% (7/16)
Duels won
53	83
Clearances Total
50	43
Interceptions
5	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
3.12	1.75
Goals prevented
1.12	-1.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Kelly G. ⚽, Fusire S. (A),
43', 2 - 0, Dennis M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Walters R. ↓, Byers G. ↑,
46', Shorrock J. ↓, Hart S. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Hayden A. ⚽,
61', 3 - 1, Stockley J. ⚽, Garrity B. (A),
68', Byers G. 🟨,
70', 3 - 2, Hart S. ⚽,
77', Garrity B. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
79', Wearne S. 🟨,
84', Fusire S. ↓, Guy C. ↑,
85', Dennis M. 🟨,
85', Dennis M. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
86', Hayden A. 🟨,
87', Hall C. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
90', Wearne S. ↓, Vela J. ↑,
90+2', Thomas T. 🟨,
90+3', Tolaj L. (Pen),
90+4', Dennis M. 🟨,
90+4', Barclay B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Carlisle United
24.6%

Draw
27.2%

Port Vale
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

28.3%

38.7%

Carlisle United - Port Vale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (2.82)	3.46 ↑ (3.31)	1.95 ↓ (2.41)	6.4% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Port Vale?

Users Predictions: Port Vale will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Port Vale will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1.
Recent matches Carlisle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Port Vale is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Port Vale will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Carlisle: Davies A. (Injury) Dummett P. (Hamstring Injury) Jones J. (Inactive) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
There will not play in Port Vale: Heneghan B. (Inactive) Kyle John (Inactive) Sang T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Headley J. (Muscle Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:16 (average 0.9:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Port Vale?

Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Carlisle United?

Port Vale has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Port Vale were as follows:

21.12.2024 Port Vale - Carlisle United 0:0

01.01.2024 Carlisle United - Port Vale 2:1

26.08.2023 Port Vale - Carlisle United 1:0

Latest results of Carlisle United

12.04.2025 Morecambe - Carlisle United 0:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Carlisle United - Newport County 3:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Chesterfield - Carlisle United 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United 3:0 ✺

25.03.2025 Carlisle United - Milton Keynes Dons 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Port Vale

12.04.2025 Port Vale - Bromley 5:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Walsall - Port Vale 2:3 ✺

01.04.2025 Port Vale - Bradford City 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

25.03.2025 Port Vale - Barrow 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	30	18	8	4	54:32	22	62
2	Swindon	31	18	4	9	52:34	18	58
3	Notts Co	30	17	6	7	46:30	16	57
4	Cambridge Utd	30	16	8	6	42:24	18	56
5	MK Dons	30	15	9	6	59:33	26	54
6	Salford	29	16	4	9	41:35	6	52
7	Walsall	30	14	7	9	38:31	7	49
8	Grimsby	30	13	9	8	42:32	10	48
9	Chesterfield	30	12	12	6	49:41	8	48
10	Crewe	31	13	8	10	47:38	9	47
11	Barnet	30	12	10	8	40:31	9	46
12	Colchester	29	12	9	8	43:31	12	45
13	Accrington	30	12	7	11	35:31	4	43
14	Gillingham	29	10	11	8	40:36	4	41
15	Fleetwood	29	10	7	12	38:39	-1	37
16	Oldham	28	8	11	9	28:29	-1	35
17	Tranmere	30	8	8	14	43:51	-8	32
18	Cheltenham	29	9	3	17	29:51	-22	30
19	Bristol Rovers	30	8	3	19	28:50	-22	27
20	Crawley	31	6	8	17	32:51	-19	26
21	Shrewsbury	30	6	8	16	25:50	-25	26
22	Barrow	29	6	6	17	30:46	-16	24
23	Newport	30	5	6	19	29:56	-27	21
24	Harrogate	31	5	6	20	22:50	-28	21

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League