Result
0:4
19/01/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 22
- Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (313/406) | 71% (221/313) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 65% (52/80) | 61% (69/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 48% (12/25) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 53% (10/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', Kouda R. 🟨,
- 20', 0 - 1, Esposito F. ⚽, Elia S. (A),
- 23', Bleve M. ↓, Chiorra N. ↑,
- 33', Nagy A. ↓, Bandinelli F. ↑,
- 34', Shpendi S. 🟨,
- 34', Esposito F. 🟨,
- 37', Oliana F. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Esposito F. ⚽, Esposito Sa. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Zuelli E. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
- 46', Finotto M. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 3, Kouda R. ⚽, Elia S. (A),
- 52', Schiavi N. 🟨,
- 53', Cicconi M. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 4, Elia S. ⚽, Bandinelli F. (A),
- 60', Shpendi S. ↓, Palmieri R. ↑,
- 63', Kouda R. ↓, Falcinelli D. ↑,
- 63', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Candelari P. ↑,
- 74', Esposito F. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
- 75', Reca A. ↓, Aurelio G. ↑,
- 86', Vignali L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carrarese
28.4% | Draw
32% | Spezia
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carrarese's form might have worsened.Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrarese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Carrarese - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↑
(2.75) |
2.92 ↓
(3.07) |
2.39 ↓
(2.67) |
6.4%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Spezia will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 12.6% – 58%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Spezia will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Spezia: Di Serio G.
(Yellow Cards)
Wisniewski P.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Carrarese: Guarino G.
(Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Spezia?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Carrarese?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Spezia were as follows:
22.09.2024
Spezia
-
Carrarese
4:2
Latest results of Carrarese
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
