Result
3:1
13/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 34
- Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 2.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (338/414) | 82% (353/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (338/414) | 82% (353/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (31/57) | 50% (26/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (78/118) | 68% (90/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 2.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.74 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Elia S. ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 0, Kouda R. ⚽, Vignali L. (A),
- 45+3', 3 - 0, Esposito F. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 3 - 1, Artistico G. ⚽, Cimino B. (A),
- 53', Wisniewski P. 🟨,
- 63', Ricci G. ↓, D'Orazio T. ↑,
- 63', Cimino B. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
- 63', Venturi M. ↓, Caporale A. ↑,
- 63', Lapadula G. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
- 64', Di Serio G. 🟨,
- 77', Gargiulo M. ↓, Charlys ↑,
- 77', Kouda R. ↓, Candelari P. ↑,
- 82', Elia S. ↓, Ferrer S. ↑,
- 82', Cassata F. ↓, Falcinelli D. ↑,
- 88', Florenzi A. ↓, Contiero L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Spezia
72.2% | Draw
17.3% | Nuova Cosenza
10.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spezia's performance.Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+2%)
Spezia - Nuova Cosenza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.44) |
5.41 ↑
(4.21) |
9.06 ↑
(7.27) |
6%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Spezia - Nuova Cosenza?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 73.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Spezia (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 1.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match Spezia is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Spezia: Bertola N.
(Red Card)
Degli Innocenti D.
(Injury)
Reca A.
(Injury)
Sarr M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Soleri E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cosenza: Garritano L.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Spezia won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:1 (average 3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Nuova Cosenza?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nuova Cosenza won against Spezia?
Nuova Cosenza has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Nuova Cosenza were as follows:
28.08.2024
Nuova Cosenza
-
Spezia
0:0
05.05.2024
Nuova Cosenza
-
Spezia
2:2
28.10.2023
Spezia
-
Nuova Cosenza
0:0
Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Palermo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Venezia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
